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Polynomial chaos methods have been extensively used to analyze systems in uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, several approaches exist to determine a low-dimensional approximation (or sparse approximation) for some quantity of interest…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Roland Pulch

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

Compressive sampling has become a widely used approach to construct polynomial chaos surrogates when the number of available simulation samples is limited. Originally, these expensive simulation samples would be obtained at random locations…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-04 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

To facilitate the numerical analysis of particle methods, we derive truncation error estimates for the approximate operators in a generalized particle method. Here, a generalized particle method is defined as a meshfree numerical method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Yusuke Imoto

We develop a method to approximate the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. Our method is built upon Carleman linearization with truncation. Specifically, we take a stochastic polynomial system with finitely many states…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Sasinee Pruekprasert , Jérémy Dubut , Toru Takisaka , Clovis Eberhart , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Stochastic processes are often represented through orthonormal series expansions, a framework originating in the classical works of Lo\`eve and Karhunen and widely used for simulation and numerical approximation. While truncation error in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Oleksandr Mokliachuk

One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

Because of the complexity of fluid flow solvers, non-intrusive uncertainty quantification techniques have been developed in aerodynamic simulations in order to compute the quantities of interest required in an optimization process, for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-02 Éric Savin , Béatrice Faverjon

The background numerical noise $\varepsilon_{0} $ is determined by the maximum of truncation error and round-off error. For a chaotic system, the numerical error $\varepsilon(t)$ grows exponentially, say, $\varepsilon(t) = \varepsilon_{0}…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-07-18 Shijie Qin , Shijun Liao

Cycle expansions are an efficient scheme for computing the properties of chaotic systems. When enumerating the orbits for a cycle expansion not all orbits that one would expect at first are present --- some are pruned. This pruning leads to…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Ronnie Mainieri

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain or random inputs have been considered in many studies of uncertainty quantification. In forward uncertainty quantification, one is interested in analyzing the stochastic response of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja

In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

Generalized polynomial chaos expansions are a powerful tool to study differential equations with random coefficients, allowing in particular to efficiently approximate random invariant sets associated to such equations. In this work, we use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Maxime Breden

Polynomial chaos expansions are used to reduce the computational cost in the Bayesian solutions of inverse problems by creating a surrogate posterior that can be evaluated inexpensively. We show, by analysis and example, that when the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Fei Lu , Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Alexandre J. Chorin

This work is an attempt to develop an approximate scheme for estimating the volume-based truncation errors in the finite volume analysis of laminar flows. The volume-based truncation error is the net flow error across the faces of a control…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-04-04 Amir Reza Baserinia