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We study the method for detecting relationship changes in financial markets and providing human-interpretable network visualization to support the decision-making of fund managers dealing with multi-assets. First, we construct co-occurrence…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Makoto Naraoka , Teruaki Hayashi , Takaaki Yoshino , Toshiaki Sugie , Kota Takano , Yukio Ohsawa

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

Human interactions are influenced by emotions, temperament, and affection, often conflicting with individuals' underlying preferences. Without explicit knowledge of those preferences, judging whether behaviour is appropriate becomes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Victor Villin , Christos Dimitrakakis

This paper investigates the equilibrium portfolio selection for smooth ambiguity preferences in a continuous-time market. The investor is uncertain about the risky asset's drift term and updates the subjective belief according to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

We study active preference learning as a framework for intuitively specifying the behaviour of autonomous robots. In active preference learning, a user chooses the preferred behaviour from a set of alternatives, from which the robot learns…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Nils Wilde , Dana Kulic , Stephen L. Smith

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

We examine machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization. We find that factors based on autoencoder neural networks exhibit a weaker relationship with commonly used characteristic-sorted portfolios than popular dimensionality…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

In the market place, diversification reduces risk and provides protection against extreme events by ensuring that one is not overly exposed to individual occurrences. We argue that diversification is best measured by characteristics of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-24 Ulrich Kirchner , Caroline Zunckel

Machine learning (ML) methods have been successfully employed in identifying variables that can predict the equity premium of individual stocks. In this paper, we investigate if ML can also be helpful in selecting variables relevant for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Guilherme V. Moura , André P. Santos , Hudson S. Torrent

Predicting a customer's propensity-to-pay at an early point in the revenue cycle can provide organisations many opportunities to improve the customer experience, reduce hardship and reduce the risk of impaired cash flow and occurrence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Md Abul Bashar , Astin-Walmsley Kieren , Heath Kerina , Richi Nayak

Portfolio sorting is ubiquitous in the empirical finance literature, where it has been widely used to identify pricing anomalies. Despite its popularity, little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the procedure. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Matias D. Cattaneo , Richard K. Crump , Max H. Farrell , Ernst Schaumburg

During the last few years, there has been an interest in comparing simple or heuristic procedures for portfolio selection, such as the naive, equal weights, portfolio choice, against more "sophisticated" portfolio choices, and in explaining…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-07 Henryk Gzyl , Alfredo Rios

We build a state-of-the-art dynamic model of private asset allocation that considers five key features of private asset markets: (1) the illiquid nature of private assets, (2) timing lags between capital commitments, capital calls, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Hui Chen , Giovanni Gambarotta , Simon Scheidegger , Yu Xu

The transition from defined benefit to defined contribution pension plans shifts the responsibility for saving toward retirement from governments and institutions to the individuals. Determining optimal saving and investment strategy for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Fatih Ozhamaratli , Paolo Barucca

Deep learning has produced big advances in artificial intelligence, but trained neural networks often reflect and amplify bias in their training data, and thus produce unfair predictions. We propose a novel measure of individual fairness,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Krystal Maughan , Joseph P. Near

Portfolio management problems are often divided into two types: active and passive, where the objective is to outperform and track a preselected benchmark, respectively. Here, we formulate and solve a dynamic asset allocation problem that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

In this paper, we consider the revealed preferences problem from a learning perspective. Every day, a price vector and a budget is drawn from an unknown distribution, and a rational agent buys his most preferred bundle according to some…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-20 Morteza Zadimoghaddam , Aaron Roth