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We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Many classical randomized algorithms (e.g., approximation algorithms for #P-complete problems) utilize the following random walk algorithm for {\em almost uniform sampling} from a state space $S$ of cardinality $N$: run a symmetric ergodic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter C. Richter

We present a general method to derive the metastable behavior of weakly mixing Markov chains. This approach is based on properties of the resolvent equations and can be applied to metastable dynamics which do not satisfy the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Claudio Landim , Diego Marcondes , Insuk Seo

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating a Markov chain $X$(signal) from its noisy partial information $Y$, when the transition probability kernel depends on some unknown parameters. Our goal is to compute the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Papavasiliou

I show how any reversible Markov chain on a finite state space that is irreducible, and hence suitable for estimating expectations with respect to its invariant distribution, can be used to construct a non-reversible Markov chain on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

Consider a system evolving according to an absorbing discrete-time Markov chain with known transition matrix. The state of the system is observed at two points in time, separated by an unknown number of generations. We are interested in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Bianca De Sanctis , A. P. Jason de Koning

Let $(M,d,\mu)$ be a uniformly discrete metric measure space satisfying space homogeneous volume doubling condition. We consider discrete time Markov chains on $M$ symmetric with respect to $\mu$ and whose one-step transition density is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

This paper is about the rate of convergence of the Markov chain $X_{n+1}=AX_{n}+B_{n}$ (mod $p$), where $A$ is an integer matrix with nonzero eigenvalues and ${B_{n}}_{n}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-20 Claudio Asci

Exponential random graph models have become increasingly important in the study of modern networks ranging from social networks, economic networks, to biological networks. They seek to capture a wide variety of common network tendencies…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Ryan DeMuse , Terry Easlick , Mei Yin

We study the following learning problem with dependent data: Observing a trajectory of length $n$ from a stationary Markov chain with $k$ states, the goal is to predict the next state. For $3 \leq k \leq O(\sqrt{n})$, using techniques from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Yanjun Han , Soham Jana , Yihong Wu

In this paper, we consider a general class of two-time-scale Markov chains whose transition rate matrix depends on a parameter $\lambda>0$. We assume that some transition rates of the Markov chain will tend to infinity as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-10 Chen Jia

We show how to map the states of an ergodic Markov chain to Euclidean space so that the squared distance between states is the expected commuting time. We find a minimax characterization of commuting times, and from this we get monotonicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Peter G. Doyle , Jean Steiner

We consider two examples for a well-known method for obtaining concentration of measure (COM) bounds for a given observable in a given measure. The method is to consider an auxiliary Markov chain for which the invariant distribution is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Michael Froehlich , Shannon Starr

For general spin systems, we prove that a contractive coupling for any local Markov chain implies optimal bounds on the mixing time and the modified log-Sobolev constant for a large class of Markov chains including the Glauber dynamics,…

We consider first-passage percolation on a ladder, i.e. the graph {0,1,...}*{0,1} where nodes at distance 1 are joined by an edge, and the times are exponentially i.i.d. with mean 1. We find an appropriate Markov chain to calculate an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-29 Henrik Renlund

The edge flipping is a non-reversible Markov chain on a given connected graph, which is defined by Chung and Graham. In the same paper, its eigenvalues and stationary distributions for some classes of graphs are identified. We further study…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Yunus Emre Demirci , Ümit Işlak , Alperen Özdemir

We prove an invariance principle for non-stationary random processes and establish a rate of convergence under a new type of mixing condition. The dependence is exponentially decaying in the gap between the past and the future and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Émile Le Page , Marc Peigné

In the Fastest Mixing Markov Chain problem, we are given a graph $G = (V, E)$ and desire the discrete-time Markov chain with smallest mixing time $\tau$ subject to having equilibrium distribution uniform on $V$ and non-zero transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Sam Olesker-Taylor , Luca Zanetti

This paper studies the f-ergodicity and its exponential convergence rate for continuous-time Markov chain. Assume f is square integrable, for reversible Markov chain, it is proved that the exponential convergence of f-ergodicity holds if…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

The Metropolis-Hastings method is often used to construct a Markov chain with a given $\pi$ as its stationary distribution. The method works even if $\pi$ is known only up to an intractable constant of proportionality. Polynomial time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-27 David Pollard , Dana Yang