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Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

This paper presents a new method for conditional probability density simulation. The method is design to work with unstructured data set when data are not characterized by the same covariates yet share common information. Specific examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Esteban G. Tabak , Giulio Trigila , Wenjun Zhao

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Lukas Heinrich , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma , Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

This paper provides a mixture modeling framework using the bivariate generalized exponential distribution. We study different properties of this mixture distribution. Hierarchical EM algorithm is developed for finding the estimates of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-03 Arabin Kumar Dey , Debasis Kundu , Tumati Kiran Kumar

Deploying deep neural networks for risk-sensitive tasks necessitates an uncertainty estimation mechanism. This paper introduces hierarchical selective classification, extending selective classification to a hierarchical setting. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Shani Goren , Ido Galil , Ran El-Yaniv

The holonomic gradient method gives an algorithm to efficiently and accurately evaluate normalizing constants and their derivatives. We apply the holonomic gradient method in the case of the conditional Poisson or multinomial distribution…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-12-30 Yoshihito Tachibana , Yoshiaki Goto , Tamio Koyama , Nobuki Takayama

We develop a novel probabilistic approach for multi-label classification that is based on the mixtures-of-experts architecture combined with recently introduced conditional tree-structured Bayesian networks. Our approach captures different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Charmgil Hong , Iyad Batal , Milos Hauskrecht

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

Modern high-dimensional point process data, especially those from neuroscience experiments, often involve observations from multiple conditions and/or experiments. Networks of interactions corresponding to these conditions are expected to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-27 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

We present an alternative approach to the Bayesian nonparametric analysis of conditional species richness under two-parameter Poisson Dirichlet priors. We rely on a known characterization by deletion of classes property and on results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-03 Annalisa Cerquetti

We develop simple methods for constructing likelihoods and parameter priors for learning about the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network. In particular, we introduce several assumptions that permit the construction of likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

Expert systems applications that involve uncertain inference can be represented by a multidimensional contingency table. These tables offer a general approach to inferring with uncertain evidence, because they can embody any form of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 David S. Vaughan , Bruce M. Perrin , Robert M. Yadrick , Peter D. Holden , Karl G. Kempf

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

We provide a new characterization of the Dirichlet distribution. This characterization implies that under assumptions made by several previous authors for learning belief networks, a Dirichlet prior on the parameters is inevitable.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

To improve the predictability of complex computational models in the experimentally-unknown domains, we propose a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework utilizing the Dirichlet distribution that combines results of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Vojtech Kejzlar , Léo Neufcourt , Witold Nazarewicz

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Henry Tirri

In recent years, addressing the challenges posed by massive datasets has led researchers to explore aggregated data, particularly leveraging interval-valued data, akin to traditional symbolic data analysis. While much recent research, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Ali Sadeghkhani , Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani