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In this article we propose an extension of singular spectrum analysis for interval-valued time series. The proposed methods can be used to decompose and forecast the dynamics governing a set-valued stochastic process. The resulting…
In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…
Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven modeling tool that generates a model from spatio-temporal data. The data needs to be as clean as possible for DMD to come up with a faithful model. We review a few data-filtering methods to…
We develop a new method which extends Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to incorporate the effect of control to extract low-order models from high-dimensional, complex systems. DMD finds spatial-temporal coherent modes, connects local-linear…
The problem of estimating trend and seasonal variation in time-series data has been studied over several decades, although mostly using single time series. This paper studies the problem of estimating these components from functional data,…
Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is an unsupervised machine learning method that has attracted considerable attention in recent years owing to its equation-free structure, ability to easily identify coherent spatio-temporal structures in…
We introduce Variational Latent Mode Decomposition (VLMD), a new algorithm for extracting oscillatory modes and associated connectivity structures from multivariate signals. VLMD addresses key limitations of existing Multivariate Mode…
We present the method of complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) for analyzing nonstationary financial time series. This noise-assisted approach decomposes any time series into a number…
Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is a classic method to analyse cointegration relationships amongst multivariate non-stationary time series. In this paper, we focus on high dimensional setting and seek for sample-size-efficient…
We present parameter-interpolated dynamic mode decomposition (piDMD), a parametric reduced-order modeling framework that embeds known parameter-affine structure directly into the DMD regression step. Unlike existing parametric DMD methods…
The conventional modal analysis techniques face difficulties in handling nonstationary phenomena, such as transient, nonperiodic, or intermittent phenomena. This paper presents a variational mode decomposition--based nonstationary coherent…
Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a popular data-driven framework to extract linear dynamics from complex high-dimensional systems. In this work, we study the system identification properties of DMD. We first show that DMD is invariant…
Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven technique used for capturing the dynamics of complex systems. DMD has been connected to spectral analysis of the Koopman operator, and essentially extracts spatial-temporal modes of the…
Harmonic instability occurs frequently in the power electronic converter system. This paper leverages multi-resolution dynamic mode decomposition (MR-DMD) as a data-driven diagnostic tool for the system stability of power electronic…
Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a popular data-driven analysis technique used to decompose complex, nonlinear systems into a set of modes, revealing underlying patterns and dynamics through spectral analysis. This review presents a…
A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…
We propose criteria that define a trend for time series with inherent multi-scale features. We call this trend the {\it tendency} of a time series. The tendency is defined empirically by a set of criteria and captures the large-scale…
As a forward-looking measure of future equity market volatility, the VIX index has gained immense popularity in recent years to become a key measure of risk for market analysts and academics. We consider discrete reported intraday VIX tick…
Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a technique to approximate generally non-linear dynamical systems using linear techniques, which are better understood and easier to analyze. Koopman theory extends DMD by transforming the original system…
In this paper, we consider the problem of modelling historical data on retail credit portfolio performance, with a view to forecasting future performance, and facilitating strategic decision making. We consider a situation, common in…