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We present a novel, conditional generative probabilistic model of set-valued data with a tractable log density. This model is a continuous normalizing flow governed by permutation equivariant dynamics. These dynamics are driven by a…

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka

A novel probabilistic framework for modelling anomalous diffusion is presented. The resulting process is Markovian, non-homogeneous, non-stationary, non-ergodic, and state-dependent. The fundamental law governing this process is driven by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-07 Nestor Barraza , Gabriel Pena , Juliana Gambini , Florencia Carusela

We construct quadratic stochastic processes (QSP) (also known as Markov processes of cubic matrices) in continuous and discrete times. These are dynamical systems given by (a fixed type, called $\sigma$) stochastic cubic matrices satisfying…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-07 B. J. Mamurov , U. A. Rozikov , S. S. Xudayarov

The Transformed-Transformer family of distributions are the resulting family of distributions as transformed from a random variable $T$ through another transformer random variable $X$ using a weight function $\omega$ of the cumulative…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Nil Kamal Hazra , Pradip Kundu , Asok K. Nanda

Estimating counterfactual distributions under interventions is central to treatment risk assessment and counterfactual generation tasks. Existing approaches model the counterfactual distribution as a standalone generative target, without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Hugh Dance , Johnny Xi , Peter Orbanz , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

We derive sufficient conditions for the convex and monotonic g-stochastic ordering of diffusion processes under nonlinear g-expectations and g-evaluations. Our approach relies on comparison results for forward-backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Sel Ly , Nicolas Privault

Normalizing flows are a widely used class of latent-variable generative models with a tractable likelihood. Affine-coupling (Dinh et al, 2014-16) models are a particularly common type of normalizing flows, for which the Jacobian of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Holden Lee , Chirag Pabbaraju , Anish Sevekari , Andrej Risteski

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

This work is concerned with the stability properties of linear stochastic differential equations with random (drift and diffusion) coefficient matrices, and the stability of a corresponding random transition matrix (or exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

We consider a process on $\mathbb{T}^2$, which consists of fast motion along the stream lines of an incompressible periodic vector field perturbed by white noise. It gives rise to a process on the graph naturally associated to the structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-20 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Leonid Koralov

In this paper, we consider a class of inhomogeneous semi-Markov processes directly based on intensity processes for marked point processes. We show that this class satisfies the semi-Markov properties defined elsewhere in the literature. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Alexander Sokol

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Recently, in the paper: T. Koszto{\l}owicz and A. Dutkiewicz, Phys. Rev. E \textbf{104}, 014118 (2021) the $g$--subdiffusion equation with fractional Caputo time derivative with respect to another function $g$ has been considered. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-20 Tadeusz Kosztołowicz , Aldona Dutkiewicz

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

Stochastic resetting can be naturally understood as a renewal process governing the evolution of an underlying stochastic process. In this work, we formally derive well-known results of diffusion with resets from a renewal theory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-05 Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Vicenç Méndez

We demonstrate that the correlations observed in conditioned multiplier distributions of the energy dissipation in fully developed turbulence can be understood as an unavoidable artefact of the observation procedure. Taking the latter into…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Bruno Jouault , Peter Lipa , Martin Greiner

In many applications, for example when computing statistics of fast subsystems in a multiscale setting, we wish to find the stationary distributions of systems of continuous time Markov chains. Here we present a class of models that appears…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 David F. Anderson , Simon L. Cotter

In this note we prove the strong Feller property of a strong Markov quasi diffusion process corresponding to an elliptic operator with merely bounded measurable coefficients. We also prove H\"older continuity of harmonic functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Timur Yastrzhembskiy