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Related papers: A note on time-dependent additive functionals

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Hidden Markov models are widely used for modeling sequential data but typically have limited applicability in observational causal inference due to their strong conditional independence assumptions. I introduce feedback-augmented…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Jouni Helske

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We focus on a class of BSDEs driven by a cadlag martingale and corresponding Markov type BSDE which arise when the randomness of the driver appears through a Markov process. To those BSDEs we associate a deterministic problem which, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Adrien Barrasso , Francesco Russo

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Continuous-time Bayesian networks is a natural structured representation language for multicomponent stochastic processes that evolve continuously over time. Despite the compact representation, inference in such models is intractable even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ido Cohn , Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

Of primary interest in this paper is the numerical approximation of a time dependent fractional, in space, diffusion equation where the domain is assumed to be nonhomogeneous, having different axial diffusion coefficients. This work is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 T. Catoe , V. J. Ervin

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

The objective of the present paper is to develop a minimax theory for the varying coefficient model in a non-asymptotic setting. We consider a high-dimensional sparse varying coefficient model where only few of the covariates are present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

This paper is devoted to the study of the inhomogeneous wave equation with singular (less than continuous) time dependent coefficients. Particular attention is given to the role of the lower order terms and suitable Levi conditions are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Marci Discacciati , Claudia Garetto , Costas Loizou

In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-10 Christoph Mark , Claus Metzner , Ben Fabry

In this paper, we consider a wide class of time-varying multivariate causal processes which nests many classic and new examples as special cases. We first prove the existence of a weakly dependent stationary approximation for our model…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Wei Biao Wu , Yayi Yan

We provide a uniform law for the weak convergence of additive functionals of partial sum processes to the local times of linear fractional stable motions, in a setting sufficiently general for statistical applications. Our results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 James A. Duffy

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

Monroe (1978) demonstrates that any local semimartingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian Motion (BM). A natural question arises: does this representation theorem hold when the BM and the time-change are independent? We prove…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

We propose a setup for fractionally cointegrated time series which is formulated in terms of latent integrated and short-memory components. It accommodates nonstationary processes with different fractional orders and cointegration of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

We define a time dependent empirical process based on $n$ independent fractional Brownian motions and describe strong approximations to it by Gaussian processes. They lead to strong approximations and functional laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Péter Kevei , David M. Mason

Our main result is the martingale representations for Markov additive processes where the modulator is a Levy process. These processes have three parts: the modulator, the jumps of the ordinate triggered by the modulator, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Celal Umut Yaran , Mine Çağlar

In this paper we investigate the long time behavior of solutions to fractional in time evolution equations which appear as results of random time changes in Markov processes. We consider inverse subordinators as random times and use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Anatoly N. Kochubei , Yuri Kondratiev , José L. da Silva