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Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

Characterizing the long term behavior of dynamical systems given limited measurements is a common challenge throughout the physical and biological sciences. This is a challenging task due to the sparsity and noise inherent to empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Roy Friedman , Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Guy Pelc , Yair Weiss , Mor Nitzan

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

We introduce and analyze a novel class of inverse problems for stochastic dynamics: Given the ergodic invariant measure of a stochastic process governed by a nonlinear stochastic ordinary or partial differential equation (SODE or SPDE), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hongyu Liu , Zhihui Liu

We study large deviation properties of systems of weakly interacting particles modeled by It\^{o} stochastic differential equations (SDEs). It is known under certain conditions that the corresponding sequence of empirical measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer

The area enclosed by the two-dimensional Brownian motion in the plane was studied by L\'evy, who found the characteristic function and probability density of this random variable. For other planar processes, in particular ergodic diffusions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Johan du Buisson , Thamu D. P. Mnyulwa , Hugo Touchette

The long term aim is to use modern dynamical systems theory to derive discretisations of noisy, dissipative partial differential equations. As a first step we here consider a small domain and apply stochastic centre manifold techniques to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-20 A. J. Roberts

In this manuscript we consider Intrinsic Stochastic Differential Equations on manifolds and constrain it to a level set of a smooth function. Such type of constraints are known as explicit algebraic constraints. The system of differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Sumit Suthar , Soumyendu Raha

The behavior of many dynamical systems follow complex, yet still unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). While several machine learning methods have been proposed to learn PDEs directly from data, previous methods are limited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Valerii Iakovlev , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

This study introduces a training-free conditional diffusion model for learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using data. The proposed approach addresses key challenges in computational efficiency and accuracy for modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yanfang Liu , Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

This article introduces a framework for measuring the uncertain behaviour of a changing system in terms of the solution of a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (fsDEs). This is accomplished via operational matrices based…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-06-03 O. T. Birgani , J. F. Peters , S. Kouhkani

In recent years there has been a push to discover the governing equations dynamical systems directly from measurements of the state, often motivated by systems that are too complex to directly model. Although there has been substantial work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Jeffrey M. Hokanson , Gianluca Iaccarino , Alireza Doostan

This paper proposes an approach, Spectral Dynamics Embedding Control (SDEC), to optimal control for nonlinear stochastic systems. This method reveals an infinite-dimensional feature representation induced by the system's nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Zhaolin Ren , Tongzheng Ren , Haitong Ma , Na Li , Bo Dai

Modeling nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamical systems has primarily relied on partial differential equations (PDEs). However, the explicit formulation of PDEs for many underexplored processes, such as climate systems, biochemical reaction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Chengping Rao , Hao Sun , Yang Liu

Irregular sampling intervals and missing values in real-world time series data present challenges for conventional methods that assume consistent intervals and complete data. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) offer an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

We introduce stochastic normalizing flows, an extension of continuous normalizing flows for maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference (VI) using stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Using the theory of rough paths, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney

We study mean field stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient that depends on the distribution function of the unknown process in a discontinuous manner, which is a type of distribution dependent regime switching. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Jani Nykänen

Stochastic differential equations (SDE) often exhibit large random transitions. This property, which we denote as pathwise stiffness, causes transient bursts of stiffness which limit the allowed step size for common fixed time step explicit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Christopher Rackauckas , Qing Nie
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