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The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

To maximize future rewards in this ever-changing world, animals must be able to discover the temporal structure of stimuli and then anticipate or act correctly at the right time. How the animals perceive, maintain, and use time intervals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-08 Zedong Bi , Changsong Zhou

Forecasting the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been a subject of vigorous research due to the important role of the phenomenon in climate dynamics and its worldwide socioeconomic impacts. Over the past decades, numerous models for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-12 Xinyang Wang , Joanna Slawinska , Dimitrios Giannakis

Physical simulations based on partial differential equations typically generate spatial fields results, which are utilized to calculate specific properties of a system for engineering design and optimization. Due to the intensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Shihong Wang , Xueying Zhang , Yichen Meng , Wei W. Xing

This paper presents a novel framework for pattern prediction and system prognostics centered on Spatiotemporal Permutation Entropy analysis integrated with Boosted Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks (BEQRNNs). We address the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 David J Poland

We report about probabilistic likelihood estimates that are performed on time series using an echo state network with orthogonal recurrent connectivity. The results from tests using synthetic stochastic input time series with temporal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Norbert Michael Mayer , Ying-Hao Yu

Atmospheric processes involve both space and time. This is why human analysis of atmospheric imagery can often extract more information from animated loops of image sequences than from individual images. Automating such an analysis requires…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Akansha Singh Bansal , Yoonjin Lee , Kyle Hilburn , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

The echo state network (ESN) is a special type of recurrent neural networks for processing the time-series dataset. However, limited by the strong correlation among sequential samples of the agent, ESN-based policy control algorithms are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Chunyuan Zhang , Chao Liu , Qi Song , Jie Zhao

Air quality prediction is key to mitigating health impacts and guiding decisions, yet existing models tend to focus on temporal trends while overlooking spatial generalization. We propose AQ-Net, a spatiotemporal reanalysis model for both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Ammar Kheder , Benjamin Foreback , Lili Wang , Zhi-Song Liu , Michael Boy

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Spatio-temporal (ST) data, which represent multiple time series data corresponding to different spatial locations, are ubiquitous in real-world dynamic systems, such as air quality readings. Forecasting over ST data is of great importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Zheyi Pan , Yuxuan Liang , Junbo Zhang , Xiuwen Yi , Yong Yu , Yu Zheng

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

State-space models have gained popularity in sequence modelling due to their simple and efficient network structures. However, the absence of nonlinear activation along the temporal direction limits the model's capacity. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Shida Wang , Beichen Xue

Echo state network (ESN) is viewed as a temporal non-orthogonal expansion with pseudo-random parameters. Such expansions naturally give rise to regressors of various relevance to a teacher output. We illustrate that often only a certain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ján Dolinský , Kei Hirose , Sadanori Konishi

As a decisive part in the success of Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS), spatio-temporal predictive modeling for crowd movements is a challenging task particularly considering scenarios where societal events drive mobility behavior deviated from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Zhaonan Wang , Renhe Jiang , Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

Temporal data, notably time series and spatio-temporal data, are prevalent in real-world applications. They capture dynamic system measurements and are produced in vast quantities by both physical and virtual sensors. Analyzing these data…