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We consider the class of SIS epidemic models in which a large population of individuals chooses whether to adopt protection or to remain unprotected as the epidemic evolves. For a susceptible individual, adopting protection reduces the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Abhisek Satapathi , Narendra Kumar Dhar , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

The spread of infectious disease and the evolution of antigenically distinct strains are often modeled separately, despite strong feedbacks mediated by host immune memory and heterogeneous contacts. To tackle this challenging problem, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 Davide Zanchetta , Vittoria Bettio , Sandro Azaele , Manlio De Domenico

We consider a simple stochastic model for the spread of a disease caused by two virus strains in a closed homogeneously mixing population of size N. The spread of each strain in the absence of the other one is described by the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Fabio Lopes , Malwina Luczak

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

We study a generalization of the classical contact process (SIS epidemic model) in a directed graph $G$. Our model is a continuous-time interacting particle system in which at every time, each vertex is either healthy or infected, and each…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Shirshendu Chatterjee , David Sivakoff , Matthew Wascher

Bacterial populations in natural conditions are expected to experience stochastic environmental fluctuations, and in addition, environments are affected by bacterial activities since they consume substrates and excrete various chemicals. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yusuke Himeoka , Namiko Mitarai

The SIRS process is a continuous-time process for how infections spread on a graph. In this model, each vertex is in one of the following three states: susceptible (to the infection; S), infected (I), or recovered (R) and thus immune to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

Antimicrobial resistance to drugs (AMR), a global threat to human and animal health, is often regarded as resulting from cooperative behaviour. Moreover, microbes generally evolve in volatile environments that, together with demographic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-18 Lluís Hernández-Navarro , Matthew Asker , Mauro Mobilia

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

During pandemic events, strategies such as social distancing can be fundamental to curb viral spreading. Such actions can reduce the number of simultaneous infections and mitigate the disease spreading, which is relevant to the risk of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Marco A. Amaral , Marcelo M. de Oliveira , Marco A. Javarone

We introduce a two-strain model with asymmetric temporary immunity periods and partial cross-immunity. We derive explicit conditions for competitive exclusion and coexistence of the strains depending on the strain-specific basic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell , David A. Rubel

We propose a generic model of eco-systems, with a {\it hierarchical} food web structure. In our computer simulations we let the eco-system evolve continuously for so long that that we can monitor extinctions as well as speciations over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Debashish Chowdhury , Dietrich Stauffer

Dynamical mechanisms that can stabilize the coexistence or diversity in biology are generally of fundamental interest. In contrast to many two-strategy evolutionary games, games with three strategies and cyclic dominance like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-15 Markus Schütt , Jens Christian Claussen

New automated and high-throughput methods allow the manipulation and selection of numerous bacterial populations. In this manuscript we are interested in the neutral diversity patterns that emerge from such a setup in which many bacterial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Guilhem Doulcier , Amaury Lambert

It is often desirable to know the controlling mechanism of survival probability of nano - or microscale particles in small cavities such as, e.g., confined submicron particles in fiber beds of high-efficiency filter media or ions/small…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-03-29 Shubhadip Nayak , Tanwi Debnath , Shovan Das , Debajyoti Debnath , Pulak K. Ghosh

We present results on phase transitions of local and global survival in a two-species model on Gilbert graphs. At initial time there is an infection at the origin that propagates on the Gilbert graph according to a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Alexander Hinsen , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali , Jean-Philippe Wary

We study a multispecies generalization of a left-permeable asymmetric exclusion process (LPASEP) in one dimension with open boundaries. We determine all phases in the phase diagram using an exact projection to the LPASEP solved by us in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-19 Arvind Ayyer , Caley Finn , Dipankar Roy

We study an abstract model for the co-evolution between mutating viruses and the adaptive immune system. In sequence space, these two populations are localized around transiently dominant strains. Delocalization or error thresholds exhibit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Alexander Seeholzer , Erwin Frey , Benedikt Obermayer

Metastasis, the spread of cancer cells from a primary tumor to secondary location(s) in the human organism, is the ultimate cause of death for the majority of cancer patients. That is why, it is crucial to understand metastases evolution in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-24 Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova , Kaloyan Vitanov
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