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Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

Regression models applied to network data where node attributes are the dependent variables poses a methodological challenge. As has been well studied, naive regression neither properly accounts for community structure, nor does it account…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Ian Barnett

Motivated by a dataset of burglaries in Chicago, USA, we introduce a novel framework to analyze time series of count data combining common multivariate time series models with latent position network models. This novel methodology allows us…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-26 Hardeep Kaur , Riccardo Rastelli

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

The increasing prevalence of network data in a vast variety of fields and the need to extract useful information out of them have spurred fast developments in related models and algorithms. Among the various learning tasks with network…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Luyi Shen , Arash Amini , Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin

This study investigates the spatial distribution of emergency alarm call events to identify spatial covariates associated with the events and discern hotspot regions for the events. The study is motivated by the problem of developing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

In multiple domains such as malware detection, automated driving systems, or fraud detection, classification algorithms are susceptible to being attacked by malicious agents willing to perturb the value of instance covariates to pursue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Victor Gallego , Roi Naveiro , Alberto Redondo , David Rios Insua , Fabrizio Ruggeri

The underlying reasons behind modern terrorism are seemingly complex and intangible. Despite diverse causal mechanisms, research has shown that there exists general statistical patterns at the global scale that can shed light on human…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Weisi Guo

Data collected from a bike-sharing system exhibit complex temporal and spatial features. We analyze shared-bike usage data collected in three large cities at the level of individual stations, accounting for station-specific behavior and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-27 Yunjin Choi , Haeran Cho , Hyelim Son

Bayesian regression trees are flexible non-parametric models that are well suited to many modern statistical regression problems. Many such tree models have been proposed, from the simple single- tree model to more complex tree ensembles.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-09 M. T. Pratola

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

In this paper, we present a novel approach to predict crime in a geographic space from multiple data sources, in particular mobile phone and demographic data. The main contribution of the proposed approach lies in using aggregated and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-09-11 Andrey Bogomolov , Bruno Lepri , Jacopo Staiano , Nuria Oliver , Fabio Pianesi , Alex Pentland

This paper addresses the problem of detecting anomalous activity in traffic networks where the network is not directly observed. Given knowledge of what the node-to-node traffic in a network should be, any activity that differs…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Elizabeth Hou , Yasin Yilmaz , Alfred Hero

Post-earthquake hazard and impact estimation are critical for effective disaster response, yet current approaches face significant limitations. Traditional models employ fixed parameters regardless of geographical context, misrepresenting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Runyu Gao , Susu Xu

Increased interaction between and among pedestrians and vehicles in the crowded urban environments of today gives rise to a negative side-effect: a growth in traffic accidents, with pedestrians being the most vulnerable elements. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Cristina Bustos , Daniel Rhoads , Agata Lapedriza , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Albert Solé-Ribalta

Recently, adaptive graph convolutional network based traffic prediction methods, learning a latent graph structure from traffic data via various attention-based mechanisms, have achieved impressive performance. However, they are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Jun Fu , Wei Zhou , Zhibo Chen

Crime prediction is a widely studied research problem due to its importance in ensuring safety of city dwellers. Starting from statistical and classical machine learning based crime prediction methods, in recent years researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Rittik Basak Utsha , Muhtasim Noor Alif , Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem , Mohammad Eunus Ali

Existing methods for anomaly detection often fall short due to their inability to handle the complexity, heterogeneity, and high dimensionality inherent in real-world mobility data. In this paper, we propose DeepBayesic, a novel framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Minxuan Duan , Yinlong Qian , Lingyi Zhao , Zihao Zhou , Zeeshan Rasheed , Rose Yu , Khurram Shafique

Deep-learning models for traffic data prediction can have superior performance in modeling complex functions using a multi-layer architecture. However, a major drawback of these approaches is that most of these approaches do not offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Agnimitra Sengupta , Sudeepta Mondal , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

In this paper, the causal bandit problem is investigated, with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward by selecting an optimal sequence of interventions on nodes in an unknown causal graph. It is assumed that both the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Chen Peng , Di Zhang , Urbashi Mitra
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