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To obtain operational insights regarding the crime of burglary in London we consider the estimation of effects of covariates on the intensity of spatial point patterns. By taking into account localised properties of criminal behaviour, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-25 Jan Povala , Seppo Virtanen , Mark Girolami

Nowadays, 23% of the world population lives in multi-million cities. In these metropolises, criminal activity is much higher and violent than in either small cities or rural areas. Thus, understanding what factors influence urban crime in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Marco De Nadai , Yanyan Xu , Emmanuel Letouzé , Marta C. González , Bruno Lepri

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

Estimation of the spatial heterogeneity in crime incidence across an entire city is an important step towards reducing crime and increasing our understanding of the physical and social functioning of urban environments. This is a difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Cecilia Balocchi , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

Accurate estimation of the change in crime over time is a critical first step towards better understanding of public safety in large urban environments. Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural way to study spatial variation in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Cecilia Balocchi , Sameer K. Deshpande , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

There is significant interest in being able to predict where crimes will happen, for example to aid in the efficient tasking of police and other protective measures. We aim to model both the temporal and spatial dependencies often exhibited…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-23 Sivan Aldor-Noiman , Lawrence D. Brown , Emily B. Fox , Robert A. Stine

The built environment has been postulated to have an impact on neighborhood crime rates, however, measures of the built environment can be subjective and differ across studies leading to varying observations on its association with crime…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Adyasha Maharana , Quynh C. Nguyen , Elaine O. Nsoesie

We consider the problem of geographic profiling and offer an approach to choosing a suitable model for each offender. Based on the analysis of the examined dataset, we divide offenders into several types with similar behavior. According to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-09 Jana Svobodová

This study addresses the challenge of urban safety in New York City by examining the relationship between the built environment and crime rates using machine learning and a comprehensive dataset of street view images. We aim to identify how…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Zhixuan Qi , Huaiying Luo , Chen Chi

Decision-makers often observe the occurrence of events through a reporting process. City governments, for example, rely on resident reports to find and then resolve urban infrastructural problems such as fallen street trees, flooded…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Gabriel Agostini , Emma Pierson , Nikhil Garg

In this paper, we study two PDEs that generalize the urban crime model proposed by Short \emph{et al}. [Math. Models Methods Appl. Sci., 18 (2008), pp. 1249-1267]. Our modifications are made under assumption of the spatial heterogeneity of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-01 Yu Gu , Qi Wang , Guangzeng Yi

We consider the problem of estimating the incidence of residential burglaries that occur over a well-defined period of time within the 10 most populous cities in North Carolina. Our analysis typifies some of the general issues that arise in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-14 Robert Brame , Michael G. Turner , Raymond Paternoster

Existing approaches to the crime prediction problem are unsuccessful in expressing the details since they assign the probability values to large regions. This paper introduces a new architecture with the graph convolutional networks (GCN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Selim Furkan Tekin , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We aim at analyzing geostatistical and areal data observed over irregularly shaped spatial domains and having a distribution within the exponential family. We propose a generalized additive model that allows to account for spatially-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Matthieu Wilhelm , Laura M. Sangalli

From a statistical point of view, crime data present certain peculiarities that have led to a growing interest in their analysis. In particular, a characteristic that some property crimes frequently present is the existence of uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Álvaro Briz-Redón

Spatial trend estimation under potential heterogeneity is an important problem to extract spatial characteristics and hazards such as criminal activity. By focusing on quantiles, which provide substantial information on distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

This project uses a spatial model (Geographically Weighted Regression) to relate various physical and social features to crime rates. Besides making interesting predictions from basic data statistics, the trained model can be used to…

Traditional crime prediction models based on census data are limited, as they fail to capture the complexity and dynamics of human activity. With the rise of ubiquitous computing, there is the opportunity to improve such models with data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Cristina Kadar , Irena Pletikosa

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker
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