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Conformal risk control is an extension of conformal prediction for controlling risk functions beyond miscoverage. The original algorithm controls the expected value of a loss that is monotonic in a one-dimensional parameter. Here, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos

The use of observational time series data to assess the impact of multi-time point interventions is becoming increasingly common as more health and activity data are collected and digitized via wearables, social media, and electronic health…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Michael Rosenblum

Traditional dose selection for oncology registration trials typically employs a one- or two-step single maximum tolerated dose (MTD) approach. However, this approach may not be appropriate for molecularly targeted therapy that tends to have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Jason J. Z. Liao , Ekaterine Asatiani , Qingyang Liu , Kevin Hou

This paper shows how to use a randomized saturation experimental design to identify and estimate causal effects in the presence of spillovers--one person's treatment may affect another's outcome--and one-sided non-compliance--subjects can…

There is wide interest in studying how the distribution of a continuous response changes with a predictor. We are motivated by environmental applications in which the predictor is the dose of an exposure and the response is a health…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Antonio Canale , Daniele Durante , David Dunson

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely employed metric in long-tailed classification scenarios. Nevertheless, most existing methods primarily assume that training and testing examples are drawn i.i.d. from the same distribution,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Siran Dai , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

We study the impact of different loss functions on lesion segmentation from medical images. Although the Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is the most popular option when dealing with natural images, for biomedical image segmentation the soft Dice…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Adrian Galdran , Gustavo Carneiro , Miguel Ángel González Ballester

Designing patient-specific follow-up strategy is a crucial step towards personalized medicine in cancer. Tools to help doctors deciding on treatment allocation together with next visit date, based on patient preferences and medical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Benoîte de Saporta , Aymar Thierry d'Argenlieu , Régis Sabbadin , Alice Cleynen

Population-adjusted indirect comparisons estimate treatment effects when access to individual patient data is limited and there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers. Popular methods include matching-adjusted indirect comparison…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-05 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

We illustrate an application of Algorithmic Information Dynamics to Cellular Automata (CA) demonstrating how this digital calculus is able to quantify change in discrete dynamical systems. We demonstrate the sensitivity of the Block…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Hector Zenil , Alyssa Adams

Many medical decisions involve the use of dynamic information collected on individual patients toward predicting likely transitions in their future health status. If accurate predictions are developed, then a prognostic mode can identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Aasthaa Bansal , Patrick J. Heagerty

Cancer pathology is unique to a given individual, and developing personalized diagnostic and treatment protocols are a primary concern. Mathematical modeling and simulation is a promising approach to personalized cancer medicine. Yet, the…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Alvaro Köhn-Luque , Xiaoran Lai , Arnoldo Frigessi

In fields such as medicine and social sciences, the goal of treatment is often to maintain the outcome of interest within a desirable range rather than to optimize its value. To achieve this, it may be more practical to recommend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Chan Park , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu

Robust prediction of molecular properties under extreme out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios is a pivotal bottleneck in AI-driven drug discovery. Current scaffold-splitting protocols fail to obstruct microscopic semantic overlap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zhuohao Lin , Kun Li , Jiameng Chen , Jiajun Yu , Duanhua Cao , Yizhen Zheng , Wenbin Hu

Clinical trials often evaluate multiple outcome variables to form a comprehensive picture of the effects of a new treatment. The resulting multidimensional insight contributes to clinically relevant and efficient decision-making about…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 X. M. Kavelaars , J. Mulder , M. C. Kaptein

The primary object of a phase I clinical trial is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). Typically, the MTD is identified using a dose-escalation study, where initial subjects are treated at the lowest dose level and subsequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-07 Joseph S. Koopmeiners , Andrew Wey

In Phase I/II dose-finding trials, the objective is to find the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD), a dose that is both safe and efficacious that maximises some optimality criterion based on safety and efficacy. This is further complicated when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-31 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Synthetic control (SC) methods have gained rapid popularity in economics recently, where they have been applied in the context of inferring the effects of treatments on standard continuous outcomes assuming linear input-output relations. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Alicia Curth , Hoifung Poon , Aditya V. Nori , Javier González

Quantifying a patient's health status provides clinicians with insight into patient risk, and the ability to better triage and manage resources. Early Warning Scores (EWS) are widely deployed to measure overall health status, and risk of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Thea Barnes , Enrico Werner , Jeffrey N. Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

The European Medicines Agency has in recent years allowed licensing of new pharmaceuticals at an earlier stage in the clinical trial process. When trial evidence is obtained at an early stage, the events of interest, such as disease…