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An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

In parametric Bayesian designs of early phase cancer clinical trials with drug combinations exploring a discrete set of partially ordered doses, several authors claimed that there is no added value in including an interaction term to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-12 Mourad Tighiouart , José L. Jiménez , Marcio A. Diniz , André Rogatko

The concept of personalised medicine in cancer therapy is becoming increasingly important. There already exist drugs administered specifically for patients with tumours presenting well-defined mutations. However, the field is still in its…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-26 Abbi Abdel-Rehim , Oghenejokpeme Orhobor , Gareth Griffiths , Larisa Soldatova , Ross D. King

Project Optimus, an initiative by the FDA's Oncology Center of Excellence, seeks to reform the dose-optimization and dose-selection paradigm in oncology. We propose a dose-optimization design that considers plateau efficacy profiles,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Shing M. Lee

Data-driven methods for personalizing treatment assignment have garnered much attention from clinicians and researchers. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize this through a sequence of decision rules that map individual patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Eric J. Rose , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan Shortreed

FDA's Project Optimus initiative for oncology drug development emphasizes selecting a dose that optimizes both efficacy and safety. When an inferentially adaptive Phase 2/3 design with dose selection is implemented to comply with the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Cong Chen , Mo Huang , Xuekui Zhang

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

Chemotherapy is one of the primary modalities of cancer treatment. Chemotherapy drug administration is a complex problem that often requires expensive clinical trials to evaluate potential regimens. One way to alleviate this burden and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Temitayo Ajayi , Seyedmohammadhossein Hosseinian , Andrew J. Schaefer , Clifton D. Fuller

We consider a dose-optimization design for first-in-human oncology trial that aims to identify a suitable dose for late-phase drug development. The proposed approach, called the Pharmacometrics-Enabled DOse OPtimization (PEDOOP) design,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Shijie Yuan , Zhanbo Huang , Jiaxin Liu , Yuan Ji

The commonplace description of phase 1 clinical trials in oncology as "primarily concerned with safety" is belied by their near universal adoption of dose-escalation practices which are inherently unsafe. In contrast with dose titration,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 David C. Norris

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

Broadening eligibility criteria in cancer trials has been advocated to represent the true patient population more accurately. While the advantages are clear in terms of generalizability and recruitment, novel dose-finding designs are needed…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Richard D. Carvajal , Shing M. Lee

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

There are well-established methods for identifying the causal effect of a time-varying treatment applied at discrete time points. However, in the real world, many treatments are continuous or have a finer time scale than the one used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Jinghao Sun , Forrest W. Crawford

The call for patient-focused drug development is loud and clear, as expressed in the 21st Century Cures Act and in recent guidelines and initiatives of regulatory agencies. Among the factors contributing to modernized drug development and…

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

State-level policy evaluations commonly employ a difference-in-differences (DID) study design; yet within this framework, statistical model specification varies notably across studies. Motivated by applied state-level opioid policy…

For many years Phase I and Phase II clinical trials were conducted separately, but there was a recent shift to combine these Phases. While a variety of Phase~I/II model-based designs for cytotoxic agents were proposed in the literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

In oncology clinical trials, characterizing the long-term overall survival (OS) benefit for an experimental drug or treatment regimen (experimental group) is often unobservable if some patients in the control group switch to drugs in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-05 Yuqing Xu , Meijing Wu , Weili He , Qiming Liao , Yabing Mai

Dose optimization is a hallmark of Project Optimus for oncology drug development. The number of doses to include in a dose optimization study depends on the totality of evidence, which is often unclear in early-phase development. With equal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Linda Sun , Yixin Ren , Cong Chen