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Missing data and confounding are two problems researchers face in observational studies for comparative effectiveness. Williamson et al. (2012) recently proposed a unified approach to handle both issues concurrently using a multiply-robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 Katherine Evans , Isabel Fulcher , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Increasing evidence suggests that variability in longitudinal biomarkers, in addition to their mean trajectory, carries prognostic information for time-to-event outcomes. However, standard joint models typically capture only the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Felix Boakye Oppong , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Thierry Gorlia , Nicole Erler

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

We introduce a new dynamic model with the capability of recognizing both activities that an individual is performing as well as where that ndividual is located. Our model is novel in that it utilizes a dynamic graphical model to jointly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Amarnag Subramanya , Alvin Raj , Jeff A. Bilmes , Dieter Fox

We explored the challenge of predicting and explaining the occurrence of events within sequences of data points. Our focus was particularly on scenarios in which unknown triggers causing the occurrence of events may consist of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Harrison Lam , Yuanjie Chen , Noboru Kanazawa , Mohammad Chowdhury , Anna Battista , Stephan Waldert

Reliable detection and classification of power system events are critical for maintaining grid stability and situational awareness. Existing approaches often depend on limited labeled datasets, which restricts their ability to generalize to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-22 Yi Hu , Zheyuan Cheng

Extracting meaning from uncertain, noisy data is a fundamental problem across time series analysis, pattern recognition, and language modeling. This survey presents a unified mathematical framework that connects classical estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Mohammed Elmusrati

Throughout the life sciences we routinely seek to interpret measurements and observations using parameterised mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked choice in this approach involves relating the solution of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-10 Ryan J. Murphy , Oliver J. Maclaren , Matthew J. Simpson

A probabilistic query may not be estimable from observed data corrupted by missing values if the data are not missing at random (MAR). It is therefore of theoretical interest and practical importance to determine in principle whether a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Jin Tian

In various data situations joint models are an efficient tool to analyze relationships between time dependent covariates and event times or to correct for event-dependent dropout occurring in regression analysis. Joint modeling connects a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Mayr , Elisabeth Waldmann

Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew Jesson , Alyson Douglas , Peter Manshausen , Maëlys Solal , Nicolai Meinshausen , Philip Stier , Yarin Gal , Uri Shalit

With nonignorable missing data, likelihood-based inference should be based on the joint distribution of the study variables and their missingness indicators. These joint models cannot be estimated from the data alone, thus requiring the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) datasets are frequently plagued by significant data gaps, leading to inconsistencies in ESG ratings due to varying imputation methods. This paper explores the application of established machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Sergio Caprioli , Jacopo Foschi , Riccardo Crupi , Alessandro Sabatino

As one of the most commonly seen data challenges, missing data, in particular, multiple, non-monotone missing patterns, complicates estimation and inference due to the fact that missingness mechanisms are often not missing at random, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Repeated measures of biomarkers have the potential of explaining hazards of survival outcomes. In practice, these measurements are intermittently measured and are known to be subject to substantial measurement error. Joint modelling of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 Lisa McFetridge , Ozgur Asar , Jonas Wallin

A time-varying bivariate copula joint model, which models the repeatedly measured longitudinal outcome at each time point and the survival data jointly by both the random effects and time-varying bivariate copulas, is proposed in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster