English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting Multiple Time Series with One-Sided Dy…

200 papers

We consider the sparse principal component analysis for high-dimensional stationary processes. The standard principal component analysis performs poorly when the dimension of the process is large. We establish the oracle inequalities for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Kou Fujimori , Yuichi Goto , Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi

Recently, the robustification of principal component analysis has attracted lots of attention from statisticians, engineers and computer scientists. In this work we study the type of outliers that are not necessarily apparent in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Yiyuan She , Shijie Li , Dapeng Wu

In this paper the problem of forecasting high dimensional time series is considered. Such time series can be modeled as matrices where each column denotes a measurement. In addition, when missing values are present, low rank matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-27 San Gultekin , John Paisley

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We provide a remedy for two concerns that have dogged the use of principal components in regression: (i) principal components are computed from the predictors alone and do not make apparent use of the response, and (ii) principal components…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 R. Dennis Cook , Liliana Forzani

We propose directed time series regression, a new approach to estimating parameters of time-series models for use in certainty equivalent model predictive control. The approach combines merits of least squares regression and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yi-Hao Kao , Benjamin Van Roy

Optimization algorithms can be interpreted through the lens of dynamical systems as the interconnection of linear systems and a set of subgradient nonlinearities. This dynamical systems formulation allows for the analysis and synthesis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jared Miller , Carsten Scherer , Fabian Jakob , Andrea Iannelli

Continuous-time generative models, such as diffusion models, flow matching, and rectified flow, learn time-dependent vector fields but are typically trained with objectives that treat timesteps independently, leading to high estimator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Chika Maduabuchi , Jindong Wang

Principal curves are natural generalizations of principal lines arising as first principal components in the Principal Component Analysis. They can be characterized from a stochastic point of view as so-called self-consistent curves based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Robert Beinert , Arian Bërdëllima , Manuel Gräf , Gabriele Steidl

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

We give a review of some recent developments in embeddings of time series and dynamic networks. We start out with traditional principal components and then look at extensions to dynamic factor models for time series. Unlike principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Dag Tjøstheim , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

We define trajectory predictive control (TPC) as a family of output-feedback indirect data-driven predictive control (DDPC) methods that represent the output trajectory of a discrete-time system as a linear function of the recent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-12 Levi D. Reyes Premer , Arash J. Khabbazi , Kevin J. Kircher

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Computing the connected components of a graph is a fundamental problem in algorithmic graph theory. A major question in this area is whether we can compute connected components in $o(\log n)$ parallel time. Recent works showed an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Alireza Farhadi , S. Cliff Liu , Elaine Shi

A key motivation in the development of Distributed Model Predictive Control (DMPC) is to accelerate centralized Model Predictive Control (MPC) for large-scale systems. DMPC has the prospect of scaling well by parallelizing computations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Gösta Stomberg , Maurice Raetsch , Alexander Engelmann , Timm Faulwasser

This paper puts forward a new generalized polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), referred to as GPDD, comprising hierarchically ordered measure-consistent multivariate orthogonal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Sharif Rahman

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a popular dimension reduction technique often used to visualize high-dimensional data structures. In genomics, this can involve millions of variables, but only tens to hundreds of observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Kristoffer Hellton , Magne Thoresen

The literature provides strong evidence that stock prices can be predicted from past price data. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used mathematical technique for dimensionality reduction and analysis of data by identifying a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Mahsa Ghorbani , Edwin K. P. Chong

This paper develops a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) strategy for a class of discrete-time linear systems with consideration of globally coupled constraints. The DMPC under study is based on the dual problem concerning all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Yanxu Su , Yang Shi , Changyin Sun