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We propose a time domain approach to define dynamic principal components (DPC) using a reconstruction of the original series criterion. This approach to define DPC was introduced by Brillinger, who gave a very elegant theoretical solution…
Principal component analysis is a versatile tool to reduce dimensionality which has wide applications in statistics and machine learning. It is particularly useful for modeling data in high-dimensional scenarios where the number of…
We propose a novel approach for time series forecasting with many predictors, referred to as the GO-sdPCA, in this paper. The approach employs a variable selection method known as the group orthogonal greedy algorithm and the…
Univariate time series often take the form of a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. Examples of these include hourly ground-level ozone concentration curves. These curves can be viewed as a time series of functions…
In this paper, we explore dimension reduction for functional time series. We propose a generalized dynamic functional principal component analysis (GDFPCA) which does not rely on spectral density estimation and demonstrates strong empirical…
In areas of application, including actuarial science and demography, it is increasingly common to consider a time series of curves; an example of this is age-specific mortality rates observed over a period of years. Given that age can be…
Generalization of time series prediction remains an important open issue in machine learning, wherein earlier methods have either large generalization error or local minima. We develop an analytically solvable, unsupervised learning scheme…
We extend the principal component analysis (PCA) to second-order stationary vector time series in the sense that we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation for a $p$-variate time series such that the transformed series is segmented…
We consider estimation of large approximate factor models in high-dimensional panels of stationary time series using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We review the key results establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions for…
Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…
A new procedure is proposed for the dimensional reduction of time series. Similarly to principal components, the procedure seeks a low-dimensional manifold that minimizes information loss. Unlike principal components, however, the new…
Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used dimension reduction tool in the analysis of many kind of high-dimensional data. It is used in signal processing, mechanical engineering, psychometrics, and other fields under different…
This paper presents a new approach to solve linear and nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) problems that requires small memory footprint and throughput and is particularly suitable when the model and/or controller parameters change at…
We address the problem of forecasting high-dimensional functional time series through a two-fold dimension reduction procedure. The difficulty of forecasting high-dimensional functional time series lies in the curse of dimensionality. In…
The purpose of this article is to develop the dimension reduction techniques in panel data analysis when the number of individuals and indicators is large. We use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method to represent large number of…
We consider forecasting a single time series when there is a large number of predictors and a possible nonlinear effect. The dimensionality was first reduced via a high-dimensional (approximate) factor model implemented by the principal…
This paper studies the problem of dimension reduction, tailored to improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors. We propose a novel Supervised Deep Dynamic Principal component analysis (SDDP) framework that…
This article proposes a new approach to modeling high-dimensional time series by treating a $p$-dimensional time series as a nonsingular linear transformation of certain common factors and idiosyncratic components. Unlike the approximate…
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very successful dimensionality reduction technique, widely used in predictive modeling. A key factor in its widespread use in this domain is the fact that the projection of a dataset onto its first…
While the disciplines of physics and engineering sciences in many cases have taken advantage from accurate time-series prediction of system behaviour by applying ordinary differential equation systems upon precise basic physical laws such…