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Related papers: Changing World Extreme Temperature Statistics

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Ambient temperatures are rising globally, with the greatest increases recorded at night. Concurrently, the prevalence of insufficient sleep is increasing in many populations, with substantial costs to human health and well-being. Even…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Kelton Minor , Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Sigga Svala Jonasdottir , Sune Lehmann , Nick Obradovich

This paper contributes to the limited literature on the temperature sensitivity of residential energy demand on a global scale. Using a Bayesian Partial Pooling model, we estimate country-specific intercepts and slopes, focusing on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-01 Peer Lasse Hinrichsen , Katrin Rehdanz , Richard S. J. Tol

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Various interpretations of the notion of a trend in the context of global warming are discussed, contrasting the difference between viewing a trend as the deterministic response to an external forcing and viewing it as a slow variation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-29 Lene Østvand , Kristoffer Rypdal , Martin Rypdal

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Climate projection uncertainty can be partitioned into model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty and internal variability. Here, we investigate the different sources of uncertainty in the projected frequencies of daily maximum temperature and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-18 Mackenzie L. Blanusa , Carla J. López-Zurita , Stephan Rasp

Climate change communication is crucial to raising awareness and motivating action. In the context of breaching the limits set out by the Paris Agreement, we argue that climate scientists should move away from point estimates and towards…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-19 J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés , Olivia Kvist

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

In our previous paper "No experimental evidence for the significant anthropogenic climate change" we had a reference to this paper. Thus, we have presented a new theory: how Henry's Law regulates the concentration of CO$_2$ in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jyrki Kauppinen , Pekka Malmi

Climate science studies the structure and dynamics of Earth's climate system and seeks to understand how climate changes over time, where the data is usually stored in the format of time series, recording the climate features, geolocation,…

Global climate change is attracting widespread scientific, political, and public attention owing to the involvement of international initiatives such as the Paris Agreement and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We present a…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hui-Zhen Fu , Ludo Waltman

Changes in extreme weather may produce some of the largest societal impacts of anthropogenic climate change. However, it is intrinsically difficult to estimate changes in extreme events from the short observational record. In this work we…

There is argument as to the extent to which there has been an increase over the past few decades in the frequency of the extremes of climatic parameters, such as temperature, storminess, precipitation, etc, an obvious point being that…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 A. D. Erlykin , B. A. Laken , A. W. Wolfendale

Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Werner Marx , Robin Haunschild , Lutz Bornmann

The temperatures in different zones in the world do not show significant changes due to El-Nino except when measured in a restricted area in the Pacific Ocean. We find, in contrast, that the dynamics of a climate network based on the same…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-12-07 Kazuko Yamasaki , Avi Gozolchiani , Shlomo Havlin

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.

The provision of accurate methods for predicting the climate response to anthropogenic and natural forcings is a key contemporary scientific challenge. Using a simplified and efficient open-source general circulation model of the atmosphere…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-25 Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit , Francesco Ragone

Recent work has provided ample evidence that nonlinear methods of time series analysis potentially allow for detecting periods of anomalous dynamics in paleoclimate proxy records that are otherwise hidden to classical statis- tical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-27 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner

In this study we used HadCRUT4 temperature anomalies for 1950-2013 years in order to investigate properties of recent warming. Our aim was to separate changes produced by short-term ENSO variations and to look on temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-06-24 P. V Belolipetsky
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