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We consider the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the global stock market before, during, and after the crisis. We generate complex networks from a cross-correlation matrix such as the threshold network (TN) and the minimal…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Jae Woo Lee , Ashadun Nobi

The level of systemic risk in economic and financial systems is strongly determined by the structure of the underlying networks of interdependent entities that can propagate shocks and stresses. Since changes in network structure imply…

We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Kullmann , J. Kertesz , K. Kaski

Correlation matrices inferred from stock return time series contain information on the behaviour of the market, especially on clusters of highly correlating stocks. Here we study a subset of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) traded stocks and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tapio Heimo , Jari Saramaki , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Kimmo Kaski

This work employs some techniques in order to filter random noise from the information provided by minimum spanning trees obtained from the correlation matrices of international stock market indices prior to and during times of crisis. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-11 Leonidas Sandoval Junior

We investigate the time series of the degree of minimum spanning trees obtained by using a correlation based clustering procedure which is starting from (i) asset return and (ii) volatility time series. The minimum spanning tree is obtained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Salvatore Miccichè , Giovanni Bonanno , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Investors in stock market are usually greedy during bull markets and scared during bear markets. The greed or fear spreads across investors quickly. This is known as the herding effect, and often leads to a fast movement of stock prices.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-06 Wanfeng Yan , Edgar van Tuyll van Serooskerken

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

A person's decision to adopt an idea or product is often driven by the decisions of peers, mediated through a network of social ties. A common way of modeling adoption dynamics is to use threshold models, where a node may become an adopter…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-30 Ville-Pekka Backlund , Jari Saramäki , Raj Kumar Pan

We investigate the trading behavior of Finnish individual investors trading the stocks selected to compute the OMXH25 index in 2003 by tracking the individual daily investment decisions. We verify that the set of investors is a highly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-30 Federico Musciotto , Luca Marotta , Salvatore Miccichè , Jyrki Piilo , Rosario N. Mantegna

In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-11 Charu Sharma , Amber Habib

This work presents a topology detection method combining home smart meter information and sparse line flow measurements. The problem is formulated as a spanning tree detection problem over a graph given partial nodal and edge flow…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Raffi Avo Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

We construct a network from climate records of different geographical sites in the North Atlantic. A link between two sites represents the cross-correlations between the records of each site. We find that within the different phases of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 O. Guez , A. Gozolchiani , K. Yamasaki , Y. Berezin , S. Brenner , S. Havlin

Based on a recently proposed $q$-dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_q$, we generalize the concept of minimum spanning tree (MST) by introducing a family of $q$-dependent minimum spanning trees ($q$MST) that are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-19 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Marcin Forczek , Stanislaw Drozdz

This study looks into employees' communication, offering novel metrics which can help to predict a company's stock price. We studied the intranet forum of a large Italian company, exploring the interactions and the use of language of about…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-26 A. Fronzetti Colladon , G. Scettri

We investigate the trading behavior of a large set of single investors trading the highly liquid Nokia stock over the period 2003-2008 with the aim of determining the relative role of endogenous and exogenous factors that may affect their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-25 Fabrizio Lillo , Salvatore Miccichè , Michele Tumminello , Jyrki Piilo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

We analyze the daily stock data of the Nasdaq Composite index in the 22-year period 1992-2013 and identify market states as clusters of correlation matrices with similar correlation structures. We investigate the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

A taxonomy of large financial crashes proposed in the literature locates the burst of speculative bubbles due to endogenous causes in the framework of extreme stock market crashes, defined as falls of market prices that are outlier with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Giulia Rotundo , Mauro Navarra

We propose a new framework for measuring connectedness among financial variables that arises due to heterogeneous frequency responses to shocks. To estimate connectedness in short-, medium-, and long-term financial cycles, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jozef Barunik , Tomas Krehlik

Previous work has shown that for contagion processes on extended star networks (trees with exactly one node of degree > 2), there is a simple, closed-form expression for a highly accurate approximation to the maximum likelihood infection…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Sam Spencer , Lav R. Varshney