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How much knowledge is there in an economy? In recent years, data on the mix of products that countries export has been used to construct measures of economic complexity that estimate the knowledge available in an economy and predict future…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-26 Saleh Albeaik , Mary Kaltenberg , Mansour Alsaleh , Cesar A. Hidalgo

Recently a measure for Economic Complexity named ECI+ has been proposed by Albeaik et al. We like the ECI+ algorithm because it is mathematically identical to the Fitness algorithm, the measure for Economic Complexity we introduced in 2012.…

Two network measures known as the Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and Product Complexity Index (PCI) have provided important insights into patterns of economic development. We show that the ECI and PCI are equivalent to a spectral…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-05 Penny Mealy , J. Doyne Farmer , Alexander Teytelboym

Contrary to conventional economic growth theory, which reduces a country's output to one aggregate variable (GDP), product diversity is central to economic development, as recent 'economic complexity' research suggests. A country's product…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Sabiou Inoua

The Economic Complexity Index (ECI; Hidalgo & Hausmann, 2009) measures the complexity of national economies in terms of product groups. Analogously to ECI, a Patent Complexity Index (PatCI) can be developed on the basis of a matrix of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-18 Inga Ivanova , Oivind Strand , Duncan Kushnir , Loet Leydesdorff

A recent paper by Hausmann and collaborators (1) reaches the important conclusion that Complexity-weighted diversification is the essential element to predict country growth. We like this result because Complexity-weighted diversification…

General Economics · Economics 2019-12-24 Luciano Pietronero , Andrea Gabrielli , Andrea Zaccaria

Economic complexity - a group of dimensionality-reduction methods that apply network science to trade data - represented a paradigm shift in development economics towards materializing the once-intangible concept of capabilities as…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-08 Ziang Huang , Huashan Chen

We provide a mechanistic foundation for economic complexity methods. In our model, an economy's ability to produce an activity depends on the joint presence of required capabilities. We analytically derive the Economic Complexity Index…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 César A. Hidalgo , Viktor Stojkoski

A country's mix of products predicts its subsequent pattern of diversification and economic growth. But does this product mix also predict income inequality? Here we combine methods from econometrics, network science, and economic…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-31 D. Hartmann , M. R. Guevara , C. Jara-Figueroa , M. Aristaran , C. A. Hidalgo

China has experienced an outstanding economic expansion during the past decades, however, literature on non-monetary metrics that reveal the status of China's regional economic development are still lacking. In this paper, we fill this gap…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-19 Jian Gao , Tao Zhou

Economic Complexity (EC) methods have gained increasing popularity across fields and disciplines. In particular, the EC toolbox has proved particularly promising in the study of complex and interrelated phenomena, such as the transition…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-12 Bernardo Caldarola , Dario Mazzilli , Lorenzo Napolitano , Aurelio Patelli , Angelica Sbardella

Complex systems are found in most branches of science. It is still argued how to best quantify their complexity and to what end. One prominent measure of complexity (the statistical complexity) has an operational meaning in terms of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-10-24 Karoline Wiesner , Mile Gu , Elisabeth Rieper , Vlatko Vedral

Economic complexity algorithms aim to uncover the hidden capabilities that drive economic systems. Here, we present a fundamental reinterpretation of two of these algorithms, the Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and the Economic Fitness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-27 Alessandro Bellina , Paolo Buttà , Vito D. P. Servedio

Economic complexity measures aim to quantify the capability content or endowment of industries and territories; however, capabilities are not observable, and therefore cannot be directly used in the computations. We estimate such endowments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Antonio Russo , Pasquale Scaramozzino , Andrea Zaccaria

Economic complexity reflects the amount of knowledge that is embedded in the productive structure of an economy. It resides on the premise of hidden capabilities - fundamental endowments underlying the productive structure. In general,…

This note is a contribution to the debate about the optimal algorithm for Economic Complexity that recently appeared on ArXiv [1, 2] . The authors of [2] eventually agree that the ECI+ algorithm [1] consists just in a renaming of the…

We propose the Variation Calibration Error (VCE) metric for assessing the calibration of machine learning classifiers. The metric can be viewed as an extension of the well-known Expected Calibration Error (ECE) which assesses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Andrew Thompson , Vivek Desai

Estimating the capabilities, or inputs of production, that drive and constrain the economic development of urban areas has remained a challenging goal. We posit that capabilities are instantiated in the complexity and sophistication of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-17 Andres Gomez-Lievano , Oscar Patterson-Lomba

Software implements a significant proportion of functionality in factory automation. Thus, efficient development and the reuse of software parts, so-called units, enhance competitiveness. Thereby, complex control software units are more…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Juliane Fischer , Birgit Vogel-Heuser , Heiko Schneider , Nikolai Langer , Markus Felger , Matthias Bengel

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch
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