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In this paper we study the Poisson Hypothesis, which is a device to analyze approximately the behavior of large queueing networks. We prove it in some simple limiting cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical system,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Rybko , S. Shlosman

This paper studies a Markov chain for phylogenetic reconstruction which uses a popular transition between tree topologies known as subtree pruning-and-regrafting (SPR). We analyze the Markov chain in the simpler setting that the generating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

Questions are posed regarding the influence that the column sums of the transition probabilities of a stochastic matrix (with row sums all one) have on the stationary distribution, the mean first passage times and the Kemeny constant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Consider a list of labeled objects that are organized in a heap. At each time, object $j$ is selected with probability $p_j$ and moved to the top of the heap. This procedure defines a Markov chain on the set of permutations which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-26 Alfred Kume , Fabrizio Leisen , Antonio Lijoi

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

There are diverse mechanisms driving the evolution of social networks. A key open question dealing with understanding their evolution is: How various preferential linking mechanisms produce networks with different features? In this paper we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Haibo Hu , Jinli Guo , Xuan Liu

As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-17 Stephen Ragain , Johan Ugander

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We introduce the Markovian Pre-trained Transformer (MPT) for next-item recommendation, a transferable model fully pre-trained on synthetic Markov chains, yet capable of achieving state-of-the-art performance by fine-tuning a lightweight…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Cong Xu , Guoliang Li , Jun Wang , Wei Zhang

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We prove that the probability substitution matrices obtained from a continuous-time Markov chain form a multiplicatively closed set if and only if the rate matrices associated to the chain form a linear space spanning a Lie algebra. The key…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Jeremy G Sumner

The transition matrix of a Markov chain $(X_k,k\geq 0)$ on a finite or infinite rooted tree is said to be almost upper-directed if, given $X_k$, the node $X_{k+1}$ is either a descendant of $X_k$ or the parent of $X_k$. It is said to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

Phylogenetic trees constitute an interesting class of objects for stochastic processes due to the non-standard nature of the space they inhabit. In particular, many statistical applications require the construction of Markov processes on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Rodrigo B. Alves , Yuri F. Saporito , Luiz M. Carvalho

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We provide a unified framework to compute the stationary distribution of any finite irreducible Markov chain or equivalently of any irreducible random walk on a finite semigroup $S$. Our methods use geometric finite semigroup theory via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-11 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Two approaches to studying the correlation functions of the binary Markov sequences are considered. The first of them is based on the study of probability of occurring different ''words'' in the sequence. The other one uses recurrence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

We consider the adjacency matrix associated with a graph that describes transitions between $2^{N}$ states of the discrete Preisach memory model. This matrix can also be associated with the last-in-first-out inventory management rule. We…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-09-21 Tamas Kalmar-Nagy , Andreas Amann , Daniel Kim , Dmitrii Rachinskii

We extend the general stochastic matching model on graphs introduced in (Mairesse and Moyal, 2016), to matching models on multigraphs, that is, graphs with self-loops. The evolution of the model can be described by a discrete time Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Jocelyn Begeot , Irène Marcovici , Pascal Moyal , Youssef Rahme

A new family of tree-structured Markov random fields for a vector of discrete counting random variables is introduced. According to the characteristics of the family, the marginal distributions of the Markov random fields are all Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-20 Benjamin Côté , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau