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AI and data-driven models have large potential for data assimilation applications by creating fast and accurate forecasts. Their tendency to produce spurious inaccurate, nonphysical results -- hallucination -- however, raises a serious…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Andrey A. Popov

In data assimilation, an ensemble provides a way to propagate the probability density of a system described by a nonlinear prediction model. Although a large ensemble size is required for statistical accuracy, the ensemble size is typically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Bosu Choi , Yoonsang Lee

This paper aims to introduce an application to Kalman Filtering Theory, which is rather unconventional. Recent experiments have shown that many natural phenomena, especially from ecology or meteorology, could be monitored and predicted more…

General Literature · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Dan Stefanoiu , Janetta Culita

The fusion between an inertial navigation system and global navigation satellite systems is regularly used in many platforms such as drones, land vehicles, and marine vessels. The fusion is commonly carried out in a model-based extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-05 Barak Or , Itzik Klein

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a widely used methodology for state estimation in partial, noisily observed dynamical systems, and for parameter estimation in inverse problems. Despite its widespread use in the geophysical sciences,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Claudia Schillings , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Dandan Luo , Yunmin Zhu

We commonly refer to state-estimation theory in geosciences as data assimilation. This term encompasses the entire sequence of operations that, starting from the observations of a system, and from additional statistical and dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Geir Evensen

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a method for combining a dynamical model with data in a sequential fashion. Despite its widespread use, there has been little analysis of its theoretical properties. Many of the algorithmic innovations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 D. T. B. Kelly , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

In this article, we complement recent results on the convergence of the state estimate obtained by applying the discrete-time Kalman filter on a time-sampled continuous-time system. As the temporal discretization is refined, the estimate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Atte Aalto

In applications such as free-space optical communication, a signal is often recovered after propagation through a turbulent medium. In this setting, it is common to assume that limited information is known about the turbulent medium, such…

Optics · Physics 2025-10-13 Anjali Nair , Qin Li , Samuel N. Stechmann

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

Data assimilation (DA) plays a pivotal role in diverse applications, ranging from climate predictions and weather forecasts to trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. A prime example is the widely used ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF),…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Naila Raboudi , Edriss S. Titi , Omar Knio , Ibrahim Hoteit

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Data assimilation has been applied to coastal hydrodynamic models to better estimate system states or parameters by incorporating observed data into the model. Kalman Filter (KF) is one of the most studied data assimilation methods whose…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-05 Milad Hooshyar , Stephen C. Medeiros , Dingbao Wang , Scott C. Hagen

Structure-preserving algorithms and algorithms with uniform error bound have constituted two interesting classes of numerical methods. In this paper, we blend these two kinds of methods for solving nonlinear Hamiltonian systems with highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Bin Wang , Yaolin Jiang

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-09 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

Ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) methods have become increasingly popular due to their inherent ability to address nonlinear dynamic problems. However, these methods often face a trade-off between analysis accuracy and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Zhilin Li , Zhou Yao , Xianglong Li , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Shanlin Xu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

This paper develops a robust extended Kalman filter to estimate the rotor angles and the rotor speeds of synchronous generators of a multimachine power system. Using a batch-mode regression form, the filter processes together predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Through ensemble-based data assimilation (DA), we address one of the most notorious difficulties in phase-resolved ocean wave forecast, regarding the deviation of numerical solution from the true surface elevation due to the chaotic nature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-01 Guangyao Wang , Yulin Pan