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Interpreting partial information collected from systems subject to noise is a key problem across scientific disciplines. Theoretical frameworks often focus on the dynamics of variables that result from coarse-graining the internal states of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-18 Pedro E. Harunari , Annwesha Dutta , Matteo Polettini , Édgar Roldán

Leveraging recent work on data-driven methods for constructing a finite state space Markov process from dynamical systems, we address two problems for obtaining further reduced statistical representations. The first problem is to extract…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-14 Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Andre N. Souza , Peter J. Schmid

The analyticity of the entropy and relative entropy rates of continuous-state hidden Markov models is studied here. Using the analytic continuation principle and the stability properties of the optimal filter, the analyticity of these rates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

Within psychology, neuroscience and artificial intelligence, there has been increasing interest in the proposal that the brain builds probabilistic models of sensory and linguistic input: that is, to infer a probabilistic model from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater

Consider a probability measure supported by a regular geodesic ball in a manifold. For any p larger than or equal to 1 we define a stochastic algorithm which converges almost surely to the p-mean of the measure. Assuming furthermore that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Marc Arnaudon , Clément Dombry , Anthony Phan , Le Yang

We start by an introduction to the basic concepts of computability theory and the introduction of the concept of Turing machine and computation universality. Then se turn to the exploration of trade-offs between different measures of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2011-04-19 Joost J. Joosten , Fernando Soler-Toscano , Hector Zenil

Entropy is a central concept in physics, but can be challenging to calculate even for systems that are easily simulated. This is exacerbated out of equilibrium, where generally little is known about the distribution characterizing simulated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Samuel D. Gelman , Guy Cohen

We study from a theoretical viewpoint the fundamental problem of efficiently computing the stationary distribution of general classes of structured Markov processes. In strong contrast with previous work, we consider this fundamental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-18 Vasileios Kalantzis , Mark S. Squillante , Shashanka Ubaru

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We devise a hierarchy of computational algorithms to enumerate the microstates of a system comprising N independent, distinguishable particles. An important challenge is to cope with integers that increase exponentially with system size,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Trisha Salagaram , Nithaya Chetty

The probabilistic satisfiability of a logical expression is a fundamental concept known as the partition function in statistical physics and field theory, an evaluation of a related graph's Tutte polynomial in mathematics, and the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Stephen Eubank , Madhurima Nath , Yihui Ren , Abhijin Adiga

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

This is the first of a series of papers in which we study deep computations (ultracomputations) and deep iterates, formalizing the ideas of "asymptotic limit" of computations and compositional iterates, respectively. In this first paper of…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Samson Alva , Eduardo Dueñez , Jose Iovino , Claire Walton

The simplest, and most common, stochastic model for population processes, including those from biochemistry and cell biology, are continuous time Markov chains. Simulation of such models is often relatively straightforward as there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-01 David F. Anderson , Masanori Koyama

There is a cognitive limit in Human Mind. This cognitive limit has played a decisive role in almost all fields including computer sciences. The cognitive limit replicated in computer sciences is responsible for inherent Computational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Asad Malik

Stochastic processes abound in nature and accurately modeling them is essential across the quantitative sciences. They can be described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) or by their quantum extensions (QHMMs). These models explain and give…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-18 Magdalini Zonnios , Alec Boyd , Felix C. Binder

We consider two important time scales---the Markov and cryptic orders---that monitor how an observer synchronizes to a finitary stochastic process. We show how to compute these orders exactly and that they are most efficiently calculated…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-04-23 Ryan G. James , John R. Mahoney , Christopher J. Ellison , James P. Crutchfield

Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez