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Statistical models for landslide hazard enable mapping of risk factors and landslide occurrence intensity by using geomorphological covariates available at high spatial resolution. However, the spatial distribution of the triggering event…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Thomas Opitz , Haakon Bakka , Raphaël Huser , Luigi Lombardo

Landslides are nearly ubiquitous phenomena and pose severe threats to people, properties, and the environment. Investigators have for long attempted to estimate landslide hazard to determine where, when, and how destructive landslides are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Francesca Ardizzone , Fausto Guzzetti , Raphaël Huser

This paper develops methodology that provides a toolbox for routinely fitting complex models to realistic spatial point pattern data. We consider models that are based on log-Gaussian Cox processes and include local interaction in these by…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-10 Janine B. Illian , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Håvard Rue

In recent years, spatial and spatio-temporal modeling have become an important area of research in many fields (epidemiology, environmental studies, disease mapping). In this work we propose different spatial models to study hospital…

Applications · Statistics 2010-06-21 Erik A. Sauleau , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio

Numerous early warning systems based on rainfall measurements have been designed over the last decades to forecast the onset of rainfall-induced shallow landslides. However, their use over large areas poses challenges due to uncertainties…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-06-30 Edoardo Rundeddu , José J. Lizárraga , Giuseppe Buscarnera

Less than 10 meters deep, shallow landslides are rapidly moving and strongly dangerous slides. In the present work, the probabilistic distribution of the landslide detachment points within a valley is modelled as a spatial Poisson point…

Aiming to deliver improved precipitation simulations for hydrological impact assessment studies, we develop a methodology for modelling and simulating high-dimensional spatial precipitation extremes, focusing on both their marginal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-01 Silius M. Vandeskog , Raphaël Huser , Oddbjørn Bruland , Sara Martino

Due to climate change and human activity, wildfires are expected to become more frequent and extreme worldwide, causing economic and ecological disasters. The deployment of preventive measures and operational forecasts can be aided by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Thomas Opitz , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

To accurately quantify landslide hazard in a region of Turkey, we develop new marked point process models within a Bayesian hierarchical framework for the joint prediction of landslide counts and sizes. To accommodate for the dominant role…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Luigi Lombardo

The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) is a convenient way to obtain approximations to the posterior marginals for parameters in Bayesian hierarchical models when the latent effects can be expressed as a Gaussian Markov Random…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-14 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Francisco Palmí-Perales

Bayesian inference tasks continue to pose a computational challenge. This especially holds for spatial-temporal modeling where high-dimensional latent parameter spaces are ubiquitous. The methodology of integrated nested Laplace…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-28 Lisa Gaedke-Merzhäuser , Elias Krainski , Radim Janalik , Håvard Rue , Olaf Schenk

Spatial misalignment arises when datasets are aggregated or collected at different spatial scales, leading to information loss. We develop a Bayesian disaggregation framework that links misaligned data to a continuous-domain model through…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Man Ho Suen , Mark Naylor , Finn Lindgren

Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation provides a fast and effective method for marginal inference on Bayesian hierarchical models. This methodology has been implemented in the R-INLA package which permits INLA to be used from within R…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 Virgilio Gomez-Rubio , Roger S. Bivand , Håvard Rue

The analysis of case-control point pattern data is an important problem in spatial epidemiology. The spatial variation of cases if often compared to that of a set of controls to assess spatial risk variation as well as the detection of risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Francisco Palmí-Perales , Finn Lindgren , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio

This paper proposes a two-stage estimation approach for a spatial misalignment scenario that is motivated by the epidemiological problem of linking pollutant exposures and health outcomes. We use the integrated nested Laplace approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Stephen Jun Villejo , Janine B Illian , Ben Swallow

In this paper, we investigate earthquake-induced landslides using a geostatistical model that includes a latent spatial effect (LSE). The LSE represents the spatially structured residuals in the data, which are complementary to the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-04 Luigi Lombardo , Haakon Bakka , Hakan Tanyas , Cees van Westen , P. Martin Mai , Raphael Huser

This study investigates the spatial distribution of emergency alarm call events to identify spatial covariates associated with the events and discern hotspot regions for the events. The study is motivated by the problem of developing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie
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