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Stochastic processes with multiplicative noise have been studied independently in several different contexts over the past decades. We focus on the regime, found for a generic set of control parameters, in which stochastic processes with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 D. Sornette

We examine the asymmetric simple exclusion process with open boundaries, a paradigm of driven diffusive systems, having a nonequilibrium steady state transition. We provide a full derivation and expanded discussion and digression on results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Martin Depken , Robin Stinchcombe

Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter; then the exact probability density function of the product $XY$ is derived. Some basic distributional properties are also derived, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Robert E. Gaunt , Siqi Li

We develop diffusion models for time-varying correlation using stochastic processes defined on the unit circle. Specifically, we study Brownian motion on the circle and the von Mises diffusion, and propose their use as continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Sourav Majumdar , Arnab Kumar Laha

We develop a general approach for studying the cumulative probability distribution function of localized objects (particles) whose dynamics is governed by the first-order Langevin equation driven by superheavy-tailed noise. Solving the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

A new distribution named intensive natural distribution is introduced with the intent of consolidating statistics and empirical data. Based on the probability derived from the Bernoulli distribution, this method extended also Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Alessandro Felluga , Stefano Tiziani

This paper presents formulae for calculation of cumulative probability of effect made by blast fragments. Analysis with Mott distribution, discrete fragment enumeration, spatial non-uniformity, numerical issues, and a generalisation for a…

General Physics · Physics 2013-04-09 Oleg Mazonka

In this paper the generalization of the Poisson distribution is derived for the case when each consecutive event changes event rate. A simple formula for the probability of observing of a given number of events for the selected period of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-06 E. A. Kushnirenko

The solution of $ X=AX+1 $ is analyzed for a discrete variable $ A $ with $ \mathbb{P}\left[A=0\right]>0 $. Accordingly, a fast algorithm is presented to calculate the obtained heavy tail density. To exemplify, the compound product…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-14 Arrigo Coen

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

Stochastic entropy production, which quantifies the difference between the probabilities of trajectories of a stochastic dynamics and its time reversals, has a central role in nonequilibrium thermodynamics. In the theory of probability, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-04 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

We study the entropy production of a system with a finite number of states connected by random transition rates. The stationary entropy production, driven out of equilibrium both by asymmetric transition rates and by an external probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-13 Daniel M. Busiello , Jorge Hidalgo , Amos Maritan

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

In this paper we review some general properties of probability distributions which exibit a singular behavior. After introducing the matter with several examples based on various models of statistical mechanics, we discuss, with the help of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-25 Federico Corberi , Alessandro Sarracino

Multiparticle production processes provide valuable information about the mechanism of the conversion of the initial energy of projectiles into a number of secondaries by measuring their multiplicity distributions and their distributions in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-04-12 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Włodarczyk

We present parton distribution functions which include a quantitative estimate of its uncertainties. The parton distribution functions are optimized with respect to deep inelastic proton data, expressing the uncertainties as a density…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Walter T. Giele , Stephane A. Keller , David A. Kosower

The study of the singularities and zeros of the generating functions of multiplicity distributions is advocated. Some hints from well known probability distributions and experimental data are given. The statistical mechanics analogies…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 I. M. Dremin

Noise is a result of stochastic processes that originate from quantum or classical sources. Higher-order cumulants of the probability distribution underlying the stochastic events are believed to contain details that characterize the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-07-01 Christian Flindt , Christian Fricke , Frank Hohls , Tomas Novotny , Karel Netocny , Tobias Brandes , Rolf J. Haug

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie