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In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

We consider a walker that at each step keeps the same direction with a probabilitythat depends on the time already spent in the direction the walker is currently moving. In this paper, we study some asymptotic properties of this persistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Arnaud Le Ny , Yoann Offret

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic properties of the wait-first and jump-first L\'evy walk with rest, which is a generalization of standard jump-first and jump-first L\'evy walk that assumes each waiting time in the model is a sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Marek Teuerle

We experimentally investigate the transmission of light by dense atomic vapor. The light propagating in dense atomic vapor can be modeled as a L\'evy flight random walk. For such system, the step-length distribution can be modeled as…

We provide the exact large-time behavior of the tail distribution of the extinction time of a self-similar fragmentation process with a negative index of self-similarity, improving thus a previous result on the logarithmic asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Bénédicte Haas

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of L\'evy processes with no positive jumps conditioned to stay positive. We establish integral tests for the lower envelope at 0 and at $+\infty$ and an analogue of Khintchin's law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. C. Pardo

Properties of random and fluctuating systems are often studied through the use of Gaussian distributions. However, in a number of situations, rare events have drastic consequences, which can not be explained by Gaussian statistics.…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Nicolas Mercadier , William Guerin , Martine Chevrollier , Robin Kaiser

We provide integral formulae for the Laplace transform of the entrance law of the reflected excursions for symmetric L\'evy processes in terms of their characteristic exponent. For subordinate Brownian motions and stable processes we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Loïc Chaumont , Jacek Małecki

We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-26 Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

We consider weighted graphs satisfying sub-Gaussian estimate for the natural random walk. On such graphs, we study symmetric Markov chains with heavy tailed jumps. We establish a threshold behavior of such Markov chains when the index…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

L\'evy flights and L\'evy walks serve as two paradigms of random walks resembling common features but also bearing fundamental differences. One of the main dissimilarities are discontinuity versus continuity of their trajectories and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-09 Bartlomiej Dybiec , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak , Eli Barkai , Alexander A. Dubkov

We consider a random walk on a Galton-Watson tree in random environment, in the subdiffusive case. We prove the convergence of the renormalised height function of the walk towards the continuous-time height process of a spectrally positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Loïc de Raphélis

We study an unbiased, discrete time random walk on the nonnegative integers, with the origin absorbing. The process has a history-dependent step length: the walker takes steps of length v while in a region which has been visited before, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-27 Ronald Dickman , Francisco Fontenele Araujo, , Daniel ben-Avraham

We study how to sample paths of a random walk up to the first time it crosses a fixed barrier, in the setting where the step sizes are iid with negative mean and have a regularly varying right tail. We introduce a desirable property for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Ton Dieker , Guido Lagos

L\'evy walks are random walk processes whose step-lengths follow a long-tailed power-law distribution. Due to their abundance as movement patterns of biological organisms, significant theoretical efforts have been devoted to identifying the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Brieuc Guinard , Amos Korman

We review recent studies demonstrating a nonuniversal (continuously variable) survival exponent for history-dependent random walks, and analyze a new example, the hard movable partial reflector. These processes serve as a simplified models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ronald Dickman , Francisco Fontenele Araujo , Daniel ben-Avraham

In this paper we analyze a L\'evy process reflected at a general (possibly random) barrier. For this process we prove Central Limit Theorem for the first passage time. We also give the finite-time first passage probability asymptotics.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Świątek