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This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process that is reflected at its draw-down level whenever a draw-down time from the running supremum arrives. Using an excursion-theoretical approach, for such a reflected process we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Wenyuan Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

This article deals with the asymptotic behaviour as $t\to +\infty$ of the survival function $P[T > t],$ where $T$ is the first passage time above a non negative level of a random process starting from zero. In many cases of physical…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Frank Aurzada , Thomas Simon

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

This is a continuation of our earlier work [Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 129(1), pp.102--128, 2019] on the random walk in random scenery and in random layered conductance. We complete the picture of upper deviation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

For a multivariate L\'evy process satisfying the Cram\'er moment condition and having a drift vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Konstantin Borovkov , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is defined as an interpolation of a random walk on a point process on the real line. The distances between neighboring points of the point process are i.i.d. random variables in the normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Françoise Pène

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

We define the reflection of a random walk at a general barrier and derive, in case the increments are light tailed and have negative mean, a necessary and sufficient criterion for the global maximum of the reflected process to be finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn

We consider a discrete time random walk in one dimension. At each time step the walker jumps by a random distance, independent from step to step, drawn from an arbitrary symmetric density function. We show that the expected positive maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

We study the distribution of occupation times for a one-dimensional random walk restricted to a finite interval by reflecting boundary conditions. At short times the classical bimodal distribution due to L\'evy is reproduced with walkers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-06 Sascha Kaldasch , Andreas Engel

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

In a step reinforced random walk, at each integer time and with a fixed probability p $\in$ (0, 1), the walker repeats one of his previous steps chosen uniformly at random, and with complementary probability 1 -- p, the walker makes an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Jean Bertoin

We compute the average shape of trajectories of some one--dimensional stochastic processes x(t) in the (t,x) plane during an excursion, i.e. between two successive returns to a reference value, finding that it obeys a scaling form. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Francesca Colaiori , Andrea Baldassarri , Claudio Castellano

Let $V$ be a two sided random walk and let $X$ denote a real valued diffusion process with generator ${1/2}e^{V([x])}\frac{d}{dx}(e^{-V([x])}\frac{d}{dx})$. This process is known to be the continuous equivalent of the one dimensional random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Arvind Singh

We consider a multi-type branching random walk with displacements that have either regularly varying or semi-exponential tails. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the rightmost particle in irreducible and reducible regimes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Krzysztof Kowalski