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We propose to approximate the conditional expectation of a spatial random variable given its nearest-neighbour observations by an additive function. The setting is meaningful in practice and requires no unilateral ordering. It is capable of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Zudi Lu , Arvid Lundervold , Dag Tjøstheim , Qiwei Yao

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Yujing Liu , Xin Zheng , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

In many practical settings one can sequentially and adaptively guide the collection of future data, based on information extracted from data collected previously. These sequential data collection procedures are known by different names,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Ervin Tánczos , Rui M. Castro

We consider prediction theory for stationary stochastic processes in continuous time. We discuss prediction using the whole (infinite) past, and using only a finite section of the past. The solutions to both these classical problems have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 N. H. Bingham

With increasingly more computation being shifted to the edge of the network, monitoring of critical infrastructures, such as intermediate processing nodes in autonomous driving, is further complicated due to the typically…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Dominik Scheinert , Babak Sistani Zadeh Aghdam , Soeren Becker , Odej Kao , Lauritz Thamsen

A new concept is introduced for the adaptive finite element discretization of partial differential equations that have a sparsely representable solution. Motivated by recent work on compressed sensing, a recursive mesh refinement procedure…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Sadegh Jokar , Volker Mehrmann , Marc Pfetsch , Harry Yserentant

The era of huge data necessitates highly efficient machine learning algorithms. Many common machine learning algorithms, however, rely on computationally intensive subroutines that are prohibitively expensive on large datasets. Oftentimes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Mo Tiwari

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

We introduce a novel algorithm for gradient-based optimization of stochastic objective functions. The method may be seen as a variant of SGD with momentum equipped with an adaptive learning rate automatically adjusted by an 'energy'…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

Adaptive precision molecular dynamics simulations have developed along energy- and force-coupling approaches, which allow for a continuous transition between different particle descriptions or interaction potentials. Most approaches…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 David Immel , Ralf Drautz , Godehard Sutmann

Physical dynamical systems can be viewed as natural information processors: their systems preserve, transform, and disperse input information. This perspective motivates learning not only from data generated by such systems, but also how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Felix Köster , Atsushi Uchida

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

Two adaptive bandwidth selection methods for nonparametric estimators in locally stationary processes are proposed. We investigate a cross validation approach and a method based on contrast minimization and derive asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-28 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

We consider an elliptic partial differential equation with a random diffusion parameter discretized by a stochastic collocation method in the parameter domain and a finite element method in the spatial domain. We prove convergence of an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Michael Feischl , Andrea Scaglioni

In most practical adaptive signal processing systems, e.g., active noise control, active vibration control, and acoustic echo cancellation, substantial nonlinearities that cannot be neglected exist. In this paper, we analyze the behaviors…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Seiji Miyoshi

We propose an experimental study of adaptive time-stepping methods for efficient modeling of the aggregation-fragmentation kinetics. Precise modeling of this phenomena usually requires utilization of the large systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Sergey A. Matveev , Viktor Zhilin , Alexander P. Smirnov