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This work investigates the online machine learning problem of prediction with expert advice in an adversarial setting through numerical analysis of, and experiments with, a related partial differential equation. The problem is a repeated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Jeff Calder , Nadejda Drenska , Drisana Mosaphir

Adaptive gradient methods are the method of choice for optimization in machine learning and used to train the largest deep models. In this paper we study the problem of learning a local preconditioner, that can change as the data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-27 Zhou Lu , Wenhan Xia , Sanjeev Arora , Elad Hazan

We present a new algorithm based on posterior sampling for learning in constrained Markov decision processes (CMDP) in the infinite-horizon undiscounted setting. The algorithm achieves near-optimal regret bounds while being advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Danil Provodin , Pratik Gajane , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Maurits Kaptein

We propose a rigorous decomposition of predictive error, highlighting that not all 'irreducible' error is genuinely immutable. Many domains stand to benefit from iterative enhancements in measurement, construct validity, and modeling. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Jiani Yan , Charles Rahal

Advice-efficient prediction with expert advice (in analogy to label-efficient prediction) is a variant of prediction with expert advice game, where on each round of the game we are allowed to ask for advice of a limited number $M$ out of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Yevgeny Seldin , Peter Bartlett , Koby Crammer

In online learning an algorithm plays against an environment with losses possibly picked by an adversary at each round. The generality of this framework includes problems that are not adversarial, for example offline optimization, or saddle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Ryan D'Orazio , Ruitong Huang

Policy learning algorithms are widely used in areas such as personalized medicine and advertising to develop individualized treatment regimes. However, most methods force a decision even when predictions are uncertain, which is risky in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Ayush Sawarni , Jikai Jin , Justin Whitehouse , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Reinforcement learning generalizes multi-armed bandit problems with additional difficulties of a longer planning horizon and unknown transition kernel. We explore a black-box reduction from discounted infinite-horizon tabular reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Ian A. Kash , Lev Reyzin , Zishun Yu

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Inspired by real-time ad exchanges for online display advertising, we consider the problem of inferring a buyer's value distribution for a good when the buyer is repeatedly interacting with a seller through a posted-price mechanism. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-28 Kareem Amin , Afshin Rostamizadeh , Umar Syed

The predict-then-optimize paradigm bridges online learning and contextual optimization in dynamic environments. Previous works have investigated the sequential updating of predictors using feedback from downstream decisions to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Zhuojun Xie , Adam Abdin , Yiping Fang

Learning to defer with multiple experts is a framework where the learner can choose to defer the prediction to several experts. While this problem has received significant attention in classification contexts, it presents unique challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Online sequence prediction is the problem of predicting the next element of a sequence given previous elements. This problem has been extensively studied in the context of individual sequence prediction, where no prior assumptions are made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Elad Eban , Aharon Birnbaum , Shai Shalev-Shwartz , Amir Globerson

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

We consider a semi-supervised classification problem with non-stationary label-shift in which we observe a labelled data set followed by a sequence of unlabelled covariate vectors in which the marginal probabilities of the class labels may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Henry W J Reeve

Motivated by recent work on the experts problem in the streaming model, we consider the experts problem in the sliding window model. The sliding window model is a well-studied model that captures applications such as traffic monitoring,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-08 Vladimir Braverman , Sumegha Garg , Chen Wang , David P. Woodruff , Samson Zhou

Influence maximization is a prototypical problem enabling applications in various domains, and it has been extensively studied in the past decade. The classic influence maximization problem explores the strategies for deploying seed users…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-15 Guangmo Tong , Ruiqi Wang

Bandit algorithms sequentially accumulate data using adaptive sampling policies, offering flexibility for real-world applications. However, excessive sampling can be costly, motivating the devolopment of early stopping methods and reliable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Zihan Cui