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Financial networks model a set of financial institutions (firms) interconnected by obligations. Recent work has introduced to this model a class of obligations called credit default swaps, a certain kind of financial derivatives. The main…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Stavros D. Ioannidis , Bart de Keijzer , Carmine Ventre

A novel network-based approach is introduced to analyze banking systems, focusing on two main themes: identifying influential nodes within global banking networks using Bank for International Settlements data and developing an algorithm to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Anthony Bonato , Juan Chavez Palan , Adam Szava

Deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial attacks and hard to interpret because of their black-box nature. The recently proposed invertible network is able to accurately reconstruct the inputs to a layer from its outputs, thus has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Juntang Zhuang , Nicha C. Dvornek , Xiaoxiao Li , Junlin Yang , James S. Duncan

Factor analysis models explain dependence among observed variables by a smaller number of unobserved factors. A main challenge in confirmatory factor analysis is determining whether the factor loading matrix is identifiable from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Nils Sturma , Miriam Kranzlmueller , Irem Portakal , Mathias Drton

Neural network architectures have been extensively employed in the fair representation learning setting, where the objective is to learn a new representation for a given vector which is independent of sensitive information. Various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Mattia Cerrato , Alesia Vallenas Coronel , Marius Köppel , Alexander Segner , Roberto Esposito , Stefan Kramer

Since neural classifiers are known to be sensitive to adversarial perturbations that alter their accuracy, \textit{certification methods} have been developed to provide provable guarantees on the insensitivity of their predictions to such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Cornelius Emde , Francesco Pinto , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Philip H. S. Torr , Adel Bibi

Identifying and quantifying co-dependence between financial instruments is a key challenge for researchers and practitioners in the financial industry. Linear measures such as the Pearson correlation are still widely used today, although…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Haochun Ma , Davide Prosperino , Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Minjing Tao , Yazhen Wang , Harrison H. Zhou

In the context of undirected Gaussian graphical models, we introduce three estimators based on elastic net penalty for the underlying dependence graph. Our goal is to estimate the sparse precision matrix, from which to retrieve both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Davide Bernardini , Sandra Paterlini , Emanuele Taufer

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total treatment effect into a portion operating through a hypothesized mediator and a residual direct portion. Identification of natural direct and indirect effects typically rests on the mediator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Bearing fault diagnosis is of great importance to decrease the damage risk of rotating machines and further improve economic profits. Recently, machine learning, represented by deep learning, has made great progress in bearing fault…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Jing-Xiao Liao , Hang-Cheng Dong , Zhi-Qi Sun , Jinwei Sun , Shiping Zhang , Feng-Lei Fan

Omitted variable bias can affect treatment effect estimates obtained from observational data due to the lack of random assignment to treatment groups. Sensitivity analyses adjust these estimates to quantify the impact of potential omitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-10 Carrie A. Hosman , Ben B. Hansen , Paul W. Holland

Neural networks are known to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks, which are small, imperceptible perturbations that can significantly alter the network's output. Conversely, there may exist large, meaningful perturbations that do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Tianqi Cui , Thomas Bertalan , George J. Pappas , Manfred Morari , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Mahyar Fazlyab

Deep learning methods have become a widespread toolbox for pricing and calibration of financial models. While they often provide new directions and research results, their `black box' nature also results in a lack of interpretability. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Bo Yuan , Damiano Brigo , Antoine Jacquier , Nicola Pede

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico , Stefano Gurciullo , Guido Caldarelli

Density matrix perturbation theory based on recursive Fermi-operator expansions provides a computationally efficient framework for time-independent response calculations in quantum chemistry and materials science. From a perturbation in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Anders M. N. Niklasson , Adela Habib , Joshua Finkelstein , Emanuel H. Rubensson

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

We consider the problem of forecasting debt recovery from large portfolios of non-performing unsecured consumer loans under management. The state of the art in industry is to use stochastic processes to approximately model payment behaviour…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Sam Baynes , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell , Edmund Ryan , Timothy Waite

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer