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De-biased lasso has emerged as a popular tool to draw statistical inference for high-dimensional regression models. However, simulations indicate that for generalized linear models (GLMs), de-biased lasso inadequately removes biases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Lu Xia , Bin Nan , Yi Li

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Simultaneous inference for high-dimensional non-Gaussian time series is always considered to be a challenging problem. Such tasks require not only robust estimation of the coefficients in the random process, but also deriving limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on…

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yinjun Wu , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Zhengzhang Chen , Yanchi Liu , Xuchao Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Susan Davidson

Performing statistical inference in high-dimension is an outstanding challenge. A major source of difficulty is the absence of precise information on the distribution of high-dimensional estimators. Here, we consider linear regression in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

In this paper we develop valid inference for high-dimensional time series. We extend the desparsified lasso to a time series setting under Near-Epoch Dependence (NED) assumptions allowing for non-Gaussian, serially correlated and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-02 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

We consider the problem of estimating a low-dimensional parameter in high-dimensional linear regression. Constructing an approximately unbiased estimate of the parameter of interest is a crucial step towards performing statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Michael Celentano , Andrea Montanari

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) are popular tools for studying network structures. However, many modern applications such as gene network discovery and social interactions analysis often involve high-dimensional noisy data with outliers or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-30 Eunho Yang , Aurélie C. Lozano

It is known that the Thresholded Lasso (TL), SCAD or MCP correct intrinsic estimation bias of the Lasso. In this paper we propose an alternative method of improving the Lasso for predictive models with general convex loss functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Piotr Pokarowski , Wojciech Rejchel , Agnieszka Soltys , Michal Frej , Jan Mielniczuk

High-dimensional auto-regressive models provide a natural way to model influence between $M$ actors given multi-variate time series data for $T$ time intervals. While there has been considerable work on network estimation, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti

We introduce the spike-and-slab group lasso (SSGL) for Bayesian estimation and variable selection in linear regression with grouped variables. We further extend the SSGL to sparse generalized additive models (GAMs), thereby introducing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-29 Ray Bai , Gemma E. Moran , Joseph Antonelli , Yong Chen , Mary R. Boland

High dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models require a large number of parameters to be estimated and may suffer of inferential problems. We propose a new Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) Lasso prior (BNP-Lasso) for high-dimensional VAR…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Luca Rossini

The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

The Graphical Lasso (GLasso) algorithm is fast and widely used for estimating sparse precision matrices (Friedman et al., 2008). Its central role in the literature of high-dimensional covariance estimation rivals that of Lasso regression…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-20 Aramayis Dallakyan , Mohsen Pourahmadi

This paper introduces a multi-way tensor generalization of the Bigraphical Lasso (BiGLasso), which uses a two-way sparse Kronecker-sum multivariate-normal model for the precision matrix to parsimoniously model conditional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Kristjan Greenewald , Shuheng Zhou , Alfred Hero

Given $n$ noisy samples with $p$ dimensions, where $n \ll p$, we show that the multi-step thresholding procedure based on the Lasso -- we call it the {\it Thresholded Lasso}, can accurately estimate a sparse vector $\beta \in {\mathbb R}^p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Shuheng Zhou

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their lagged values. The main building block of our model is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-07 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Nico Petz