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In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

We consider sequential hypothesis testing between two quantum states using adaptive and non-adaptive strategies. In this setting, samples of an unknown state are requested sequentially and a decision to either continue or to accept one of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-07 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Marco Tomamichel

Adjustment of statistical significance levels for repeated analysis in group sequential trials has been understood for some time. Similarly, methods for adjustment accounting for testing multiple hypotheses are common. There is limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Yujie Zhao , Qi Liu , Linda Z. Sun , Keaven M. Anderson

This article develops a method to construct the optimal sequential test for monitoring the changes in the distribution of finite observation sequences with a general dependence structure. This method allows us to prove that different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Dong Han , Fugee Tsung , Jinguo Xian

We consider sequential hypothesis testing based on observations which are received in groups of random size. The observations are assumed to be independent both within and between the groups. We assume that the group sizes are independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Andrey Novikov , Xóchitl Itxel Popoca-Jiménez

Many classification problems require decisions among a large number of competing classes. These tasks, however, are not handled well by general purpose learning methods and are usually addressed in an ad-hoc fashion. We suggest a general…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Yair Even-Zohar , Dan Roth

This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Gal Maman , Yaniv Romano

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-26 Xiaoyang Wu , Lin Lu , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

The issue of model selection in applied research is of vital importance. Since the true model in such research is not known, which model should be used from among various potential ones is an empirical question. There might exist several…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-24 R. Scott Hacker , Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Constrained sequential pattern mining aims at identifying frequent patterns on a sequential database of items while observing constraints defined over the item attributes. We introduce novel techniques for constraint-based sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Amin Hosseininasab , Willem-Jan van Hoeve , Andre A. Cire

As a specific proportional hazard rates model, sequential order statistics can be used to describe the lifetimes of load-sharing systems. Inference for these systems needs to account for small sample sizes, which are prevalent in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Fabian Mies , Stefan Bedbur

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

We use p-values as a discrepancy criterion for identifying the threshold value at which a regression function takes off from its baseline value -- a problem that is motivated by applications in omics experiments, systems engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-26 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michialidis

We propose a location-adaptive self-normalization (SN) based test for change points in time series. The SN technique has been extensively used in change-point detection for its capability to avoid direct estimation of nuisance parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Linlin Dai , Rui She

Let $(X,Y)$ be a random variable consisting of an observed feature vector $X\in \mathcal{X}$ and an unobserved class label $Y\in \{1,2,...,L\}$ with unknown joint distribution. In addition, let $\mathcal{D}$ be a training data set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-26 Lutz Duembgen , Bernd-Wolfgang Igl , Axel Munk

Sequential modelling entails making sense of sequential data, which naturally occurs in a wide array of domains. One example is systems that interact with users, log user actions and behaviour, and make recommendations of items of potential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Christian Hansen

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Nott , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Chris Drovandi

Forecasting and forecast evaluation are inherently sequential tasks. Predictions are often issued on a regular basis, such as every hour, day, or month, and their quality is monitored continuously. However, the classical statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Sebastian Arnold , Alexander Henzi , Johanna F. Ziegel