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This presentation describes the Bayesian Block algorithm in the context of its application to analysis of time series data from the Fermi Gamma Ray Space Telescope. More generally this algorithm performs optimal segmentation analysis on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-28 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

The histogram is an analysis tool in widespread use within many sciences, with high energy physics as a prime example. However, there exists an inherent bias in the choice of binning for the histogram, with different choices potentially…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-05-21 Abram Krislock , Nathan Krislock

Aims: To incorporate background subtraction into the Bayesian Blocks algorithm so that transient events can be timed accurately and precisely even in the presence of a substantial, rapidly variable, background. Methods: We developed several…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-24 Hauke Worpel , Axel D. Schwope

Following the discovery of the brightest high-energy neutrino sources in the sky, the further detection of fainter sources is more challenging. A natural solution is to combine fainter source candidates, and instead of individual…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-06-03 I. Bartos , M. Ackermann , M. Kowalski

These lectures concern two topics that are becoming increasingly important in the analysis of High Energy Physics (HEP) data: Bayesian statistics and multivariate methods. In the Bayesian approach we extend the interpretation of probability…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-12-17 G. Cowan

Machine Learning algorithms, such as Boosted Decisions Trees and Deep Neural Network, are widely used in High-Energy-Physics. The aim of this study is to apply Bayesian Optimization to tune the hyperparameters used in a machine learning…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-11-12 Oriel Kiss

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes' theorem and its applications. In particular we discuss about how to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada

I describe a new time-domain algorithm for detecting localized structures (bursts), revealing pulse shapes, and generally characterizing intensity variations. The input is raw counting data, in any of three forms: time-tagged photon events…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Jeffrey D. Scargle

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

Determining if two histograms are consistent, whether they have been drawn from the same underlying distribution or not, is a common problem in physics. Existing approaches are not only limited in power but also inapplicable to histograms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-09-29 M. J. Betancourt

The light we receive from distant astrophysical objects carries information about their origins and the physical mechanisms that power them. The study of these signals, however, is complicated by the fact that observations are often a…

Histograms are convenient non-parametric density estimators, which continue to be used ubiquitously. Summary quantities estimated from histogram-based probability density models depend on the choice of the number of bins. We introduce a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-17 Kevin H. Knuth

Realizing the full potential of interconnecting the large amounts of data created in physics experiments, phenomenological models and theory simulations requires robust tools for statistical inference. Here I review a particularly promising…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-03-07 Alexander Rothkopf

A probabilistic technique for the joint estimation of background and sources with the aim of detecting faint and extended celestial objects is described. Bayesian probability theory is applied to gain insight into the coexistence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Guglielmetti , R. Fischer , V. Dose

We show how to obtain a Bayesian estimate of the rates or numbers of signal and background events from a set of events when the shapes of the signal and background distributions are known, can be estimated, or approximated; our method works…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Will M. Farr , Jonathan R. Gair , Ilya Mandel , Curt Cutler

A central problem in analyzing networks is partitioning them into modules or communities. One of the best tools for this is the stochastic block model, which clusters vertices into blocks with statistically homogeneous pattern of links.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-24 Xiaoran Yan

This document introduces basics in data preparation, feature selection and learning basics for high energy physics tasks. The emphasis is on feature selection by principal component analysis, information gain and significance measures for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-03-18 Anselm Vossen

The possible application of boosted neural network to particle classification in high energy physics is discussed. A two-dimensional toy model, where the boundary between signal and background is irregular but not overlapping, is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Yu Meiling , Xu Mingmei , Liu Lianshou
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