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Related papers: ELFI: Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference

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Bayesian inference is a principled framework for dealing with uncertainty. The practitioner can perform an initial assumption for the physical phenomenon they want to model (prior belief), collect some data and then adjust the initial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Vasileios Gkolemis , Michael Gutmann

Probabilistic programming provides the means to represent and reason about complex probabilistic models using programming language constructs. Even simple probabilistic programs can produce models with infinitely many variables. Factored…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-09-14 Avi Pfeffer , Brian Ruttenberg , Amy Sliva , Michael Howard , Glenn Takata

Performing inference in statistical models with an intractable likelihood is challenging, therefore, most likelihood-free inference (LFI) methods encounter accuracy and efficiency limitations. In this paper, we present the implementation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Vasilis Gkolemis , Michael Gutmann , Henri Pesonen

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, have become commonplace for conducting inference in complex models. Many approaches are based on summary statistics or discrepancies derived from synthetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Lucas Kock , David J. Nott

In likelihood-free settings where likelihood evaluations are intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) addresses the formidable inference task to discover plausible parameters of simulation programs that explain the observations.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kelvin Hsu , Fabio Ramos

Many areas of science rely on simulators that implicitly encode intractable likelihood functions of complex systems. Classical statistical methods are poorly suited for these so-called likelihood-free inference (LFI) settings, especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-28 Niccolò Dalmasso , Luca Masserano , David Zhao , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Statistical models are often defined by a generative process for simulating synthetic data, but this can lead to intractable likelihoods. Likelihood free inference (LFI) methods enable Bayesian inference to be performed in this case.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 David Chen , Xinwei Li , Eui-Jin Kim , Prateek Bansal , David Nott

This paper presents an open-source Python toolbox called Ensemble Feature Importance (EFI) to provide machine learning (ML) researchers, domain experts, and decision makers with robust and accurate feature importance quantification and more…

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) has been successfully applied to state-space models, where the likelihood of observations is not available but synthetic observations generated by a black-box simulator can be used for inference instead.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Alexander Aushev , Thong Tran , Henri Pesonen , Andrew Howes , Samuel Kaski

This study applied Bayesian optimization likelihood-free inference(BOLFI) to virus dynamics experimental data and efficiently inferred the model parameters with uncertainty measure. The computational benefit is remarkable compared to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Yingying Xu

We present mathematical and conceptual foundations for the task of robust amplitude estimation using engineered likelihood functions (ELFs), a framework introduced in Wang et al. [PRX Quantum 2, 010346 (2021)] that uses Bayesian inference…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-24 Dax Enshan Koh , Guoming Wang , Peter D. Johnson , Yudong Cao

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

Variational inference is an increasingly popular method in statistics and machine learning for approximating probability distributions. We developed LINFA (Library for Inference with Normalizing Flow and Annealing), a Python library for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Yu Wang , Emma R. Cobian , Jubilee Lee , Fang Liu , Jonathan D. Hauenstein , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

We propose a posterior for Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) based on generalized Bayesian inference. To define the posterior, we use Scoring Rules (SRs), which evaluate probabilistic models given an observation. In LFI, we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Sherman Khoo , Ritabrata Dutta

We present Inferflow, an efficient and highly configurable inference engine for large language models (LLMs). With Inferflow, users can serve most of the common transformer models by simply modifying some lines in corresponding…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shuming Shi , Enbo Zhao , Deng Cai , Leyang Cui , Xinting Huang , Huayang Li

Reconstructing the position of an interaction for any dual-phase time projection chamber (TPC) with the best precision is key to directly detecting Dark Matter. Using the likelihood-free framework, a new algorithm to reconstruct the 2-D (x;…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-27 U. Simola , B. Pelssers , D. Barge , J. Conrad , J. Corander

In robotics, likelihood-free inference (LFI) can provide the domain distribution that adapts a learnt agent in a parametric set of deployment conditions. LFI assumes an arbitrary support for sampling, which remains constant as the initial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Georgios Kamaras , Craig Innes , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Reasoning on large and complex real-world models is a computationally difficult task, yet one that is required for effective use of many AI applications. A plethora of inference algorithms have been developed that work well on specific…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Avi Pfeffer , Brian Ruttenberg , William Kretschmer
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