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Calculating the mean exit time (MET) for models of diffusion is a classical problem in statistical physics, with various applications in biophysics, economics and heat and mass transfer. While many exact results for MET are known for…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-03-04 Elliot J. Carr , Daniel J. VandenHeuvel , Joshua M. Wilson , Matthew J. Simpson

We solve the escape problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact expressions for the survival probability (which ammounts to solving the complete escape problem) as well as for the mean exit time. We also average the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-22 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The narrow escape problem deals with the calculation of the mean escape time (MET) of a Brownian particle from a bounded domain through a small hole on the domain's boundary. Here we develop a formalism that allows us to evaluate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Tal Agranov , Baruch Meerson

For overdamped Langevin systems subjected to weak thermal noise and nonconservative forces, we establish a connection between Freidlin-Wentzell large deviations theory and stochastic thermodynamics. First, we derive a series expansion of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-13 Davide Santolin , Nahuel Freitas , Massimiliano Esposito , Gianmaria Falasco

This paper addresses the use of data-driven evolving techniques applied to fault prognostics. In such problems, accurate predictions of multiple steps ahead are essential for the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation of a given asset. The…

Random fuzzy variables join the modeling of the impreciseness (due to their ``fuzzy part'') and randomness. Statistical samples of such objects are widely used, and their direct, numerically effective generation is therefore necessary.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Maciej Romaniuk , Abbas Parchami , Przemysław Grzegorzewski

The problem of computing the rate of diffusion-aided activated barrier crossings between metastable states is one of broad relevance in physical sciences. The transition path formalism aims to compute the rate of these events by analysing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-29 Rajeev Bhaskaran , Vijay Ganesh Sadhasivam

Driven by diverse applications, several recent models impose randomly switching boundary conditions on either a PDE or SDE. The purpose of this paper is to provide tools for calculating statistics of these models and to establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Sean D. Lawley

A combination of reaction-diffusion models with moving-boundary problems yields a system in which the diffusion (spreading and penetration) and reaction (transformation) evolve the system's state and geometry over time. These systems can be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Barzegari , Liesbet Geris

The classical fluctuation-dissipation theorem predicts the average response of a dynamical system to an external deterministic perturbation via time-lagged statistical correlation functions of the corresponding unperturbed system. In this…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Krzysztof Piasecki

The supervisory control theory of fuzzy discrete event systems (FDESs) for fuzzy language equivalence has been developed. However, in a way, language equivalence has limited expressiveness. So if the given specification can not be expressed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Weilin Deng , Daowen Qiu

Monte Carlo simulation is used to study the dynamical crossover from single file diffusion to normal diffusion in fluids confined to narrow channels. We show that the long time diffusion coefficients for a series of systems involving hard…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-17 Surajith N. Wanasundara , Raymond J. Spiteri , Richard K. Bowles

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

In this paper we introduce a novel method to simulate lateral diffusion of inclusions in a fluctuating membrane. The regarded systems are governed by two dynamic processes: the height fluctuations of the membrane and the diffusion of the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Ellen Reister-Gottfried , Stefan M. Leitenberger , Udo Seifert

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

We introduce DeepFHT, a survival-analysis framework that couples deep neural networks with first hitting time (FHT) distributions from stochastic process theory. Time to event is represented as the first passage of a latent diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Alessio Cristofoletto , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli

In this paper, we consider an expanding construction of a distributed control system, which is obtained by adding a new subsystem one after the other, until all $n$ subsystems, where $n \ge 2$, are included in the distributed control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Getachew K. Befekadu , Panos J. Antsaklis

This paper exposes a novel exploratory formalism, which end goal is the numerical simulation of the dynamics of a cloud of particles weakly or strongly coupled with a turbulent fluid. Giventhe large panel of expertise of the list of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Ludovic Goudenège , Adam Larat , Julie Llobell , Marc Massot , David Mercier , Olivier Thomine , Aymeric Vié

We obtain error terms on the rate of convergence to Extreme Value Laws for a general class of weakly dependent stochastic processes. The dependence of the error terms on the `time' and `length' scales is very explicit. Specialising to data…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd