English
Related papers

Related papers: Fast Exact Conformalization of Lasso using Piecewi…

200 papers

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

The "least absolute shrinkage and selection operator" (Lasso) method has been adapted recently for networkstructured datasets. In particular, this network Lasso method allows to learn graph signals from a small number of noisy signal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-19 Alexander Jung , Nguyen Tran Quang , Alexandru Mara

We propose a new inference framework called localized conformal prediction. It generalizes the framework of conformal prediction by offering a single-test-sample adaptive construction that emphasizes a local region around this test sample,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Leying Guan

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

The goal of this paper is to contrast and survey the major advances in two of the most commonly used high-dimensional techniques, namely, the Lasso and horseshoe regularization. Lasso is a gold standard for predictor selection while…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

The application of the lasso is espoused in high-dimensional settings where only a small number of the regression coefficients are believed to be nonzero. Moreover, statistical properties of high-dimensional lasso estimators are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-07 Bala Rajaratnam , Steven Roberts , Doug Sparks , Onkar Dalal

We propose a rescaled LASSO, by premultipying the LASSO with a matrix term, namely linear unified LASSO (LLASSO) for multicollinear situations. Our numerical study has shown that the LLASSO is comparable with other sparse modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 M. Arashi , Y. Asar , B. Yuzbasi

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

The lasso has been studied extensively as a tool for estimating the coefficient vector in the high-dimensional linear model; however, considerably less is known about estimating the error variance in this context. In this paper, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Guo Yu , Jacob Bien

We propose a novel approach to conformal prediction for generative language models (LMs). Standard conformal prediction produces prediction sets -- in place of single predictions -- that have rigorous, statistical performance guarantees. LM…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Victor Quach , Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Adam Yala , Jae Ho Sohn , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Conformal predictors are an important class of algorithms that allow predictions to be made with a user-defined confidence level. They are able to do this by outputting prediction sets, rather than simple point predictions. The conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Anthony Bellotti

We consider adaptive estimation and statistical inference for high-dimensional graph-based linear models. In our model, the coordinates of regression coefficients correspond to an underlying undirected graph. Furthermore, the given graph…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Duzhe Wang , Po-Ling Loh

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a comprehensive framework to produce statistically rigorous uncertainty sets for black-box machine learning models. To further improve the efficiency of CP, conformal correction is proposed to fine-tune or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Senrong Xu , Tianyu Wang , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

Spatial econometric research typically relies on the assumption that the spatial dependence structure is known in advance and is represented by a deterministic spatial weights matrix. Contrary to classical approaches, we investigate the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-24 Miryam S. Merk , Philipp Otto

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Thomas Mortier , Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Conformal predictors, introduced by Vovk et al. (2005), serve to build prediction intervals by exploiting a notion of conformity of the new data point with previously observed data. In the present paper, we propose a novel method for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Mohamed Hebiri

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

We consider the problem of predicting an outcome variable using $p$ covariates that are measured on $n$ independent observations, in the setting in which flexible and interpretable fits are desirable. We propose the fused lasso additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-19 Ashley Petersen , Daniela Witten , Noah Simon