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Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Time series aggregation (TSA) aims to construct temporally aggregated optimization models that accurately represent the output space of their full-scale counterparts while using a significantly reduced temporal dimensionality. This paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Thomas Klatzer , David Cardona-Vasquez , Luca Santosuosso , Sonja Wogrin

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

Stochastic programming is widely used for energy system design optimization under uncertainty but can exponentially increase the computational complexity with the number of scenarios. Common scenario reduction techniques, like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Boyung Jürgens , Hagen Seele , Hendrik Schricker , Christiane Reinert , Niklas von der Assen

Dynamic model reduction in power systems is necessary for improving computational efficiency. Traditional model reduction using linearized models or online analysis is not adequate to capture dynamic behaviors of the power system,…

Energy system optimization often relies on time series aggregation to ensure computational tractability. Aggregation generally loses the chronology of time steps, which renders the storage level representation challenging. Typically, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jacob Mannhardt , Lukas Kunz , Giovanni Sansavini

In contemporary power systems, energy consumption prediction plays a crucial role in maintaining grid stability and resource allocation enabling power companies to minimize energy waste and avoid overloading the grid. While there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Aayam Bansal , Keertan Balaji , Zeus Lalani

Workload predictions in cloud computing is obviously an important topic. Most of the existing publications employ various time series techniques, that might be difficult to implement. We suggest here another route, which has already been…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Maria Bekcheva , Alireza Moradi , Hugues Mounier

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

One of the most important challenges in smart grid systems is the integration of renewable energy resources into its design. In this work, two different techniques to mitigate the time varying and intermittent nature of renewable energy…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Subhash Lakshminarayana , Tony Q. S. Quek , H. Vincent Poor

This paper investigates a generation expansion planning (GEP) problem encompassing renewable, thermal, and storage technologies while simultaneously optimizing market participation, operational expenditures, and capital investment. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jakub Rybka , Luca Santosuosso , Thomas Klatzer , Sonja Wogrin

The large-scale access of electric vehicles to the power grid not only provides flexible adjustment resources for the power system, but the temporal uncertainty and distribution complexity of their energy interaction pose significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Hengyu Liu , Yanhong Luo , Congcong Wu , Yin Guan , Ahmed Lotfy Elrefai , Andreas Elombo , Si Li , Sahban Wael Saeed Alnaser , Mingyu Yan

Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke

The growing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems requires planning models to account for not only demand variability but also fluctuations in renewable availability during operational periods. Capturing this temporal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Grigory Neustroev , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , German Morales-Espana , Mathijs M. de Weerdt

Worldwide commitments to net zero greenhouse emissions have accelerated investments in renewable energy resources. The requirements for operating and planning power systems are becoming stringent because of the need to take into account the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Aiusha Sangadiev , Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , David Pozo

Energy (load, wind, photovoltaic) forecasting is significant in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Zhixian Wang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Liang Sun , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Shirui Pan , Yi Wang

Fossil gas is sometimes presented as an enabler of variable solar and wind generation beyond 2050, despite being a primary source of greenhouse gas emissions from methane leakage and combustion. We find that balancing solar and wind…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Timothy Weber , Cheng Cheng , Harry Thawley , Kylie Catchpole , Andrew Blakers , Bin Lu , Jennifer Zhao , Anna Nadolny

The short-term operation of a power system is usually planned by solving a day-ahead unit commitment problem. Due to historical reasons, the commitment of the power generating units is decided over a time horizon typically consisting of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Salvador Pineda , Ricardo Fernandez-Blanco , Juan Miguel Morales

The determination of environmentally- and economically-optimal energy system designs and operations is complex. In particular, the integration of weather-dependent renewable energy technologies into energy system optimization models…

Grid-connected hybrid renewable power systems with energy storage can reduce the intermittency of renewable power supply. However, emerging energy storage technologies need improvement to compete with lithium-ion batteries and reduce the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-29 Sleiman Farah , Gorm Bruun Andresen