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We propose a general self-supervised learning approach for spatial perception tasks, such as estimating the pose of an object relative to the robot, from onboard sensor readings. The model is learned from training episodes, by relying on: a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Mirko Nava , Antonio Paolillo , Jérôme Guzzi , Luca Maria Gambardella , Alessandro Giusti

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

We consider learning from labeled data collected across multiple environments, where the data distribution may vary across these environments. This problem is commonly approached from a causal perspective, seeking invariant representations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

A major goal of computer vision is to enable computers to interpret visual situations---abstract concepts (e.g., "a person walking a dog," "a crowd waiting for a bus," "a picnic") whose image instantiations are linked more by their common…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Anthony D. Rhodes , Max H. Quinn , Melanie Mitchell

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) and deep ensembles are principled approaches to estimate the predictive uncertainty of a deep learning model. However their practicality in real-time, industrial-scale applications are limited due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Zi Lin , Shreyas Padhy , Dustin Tran , Tania Bedrax-Weiss , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

A crucial aspect in reliable machine learning is to design a deployable system in generalizing new related but unobserved environments. Domain generalization aims to alleviate such a prediction gap between the observed and unseen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Changjian Shui , Boyu Wang , Christian Gagné

Predictive geometric models deliver excellent results for many Machine Learning use cases. Despite their undoubted performance, neural predictive algorithms can show unexpected degrees of instability and variance, particularly when applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-20 Michaela Regneri , Malte Hoffmann , Jurij Kost , Niklas Pietsch , Timo Schulz , Sabine Stamm

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

The analysis of parametric and non-parametric uncertainties of very large dynamical systems requires the construction of a stochastic model of said system. Linear approaches relying on random matrix theory and principal componant analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Hamza Boukraichi , Nissrine Akkari , Fabien Casenave , David Ryckelynck

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

The Gaussian kernel and its traditional normalizations (e.g., row-stochastic) are popular approaches for assessing similarities between data points. Yet, they can be inaccurate under high-dimensional noise, especially if the noise magnitude…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Boris Landa , Xiuyuan Cheng

Deep neural networks achieve high prediction accuracy when the train and test distributions coincide. In practice though, various types of corruptions occur which deviate from this setup and cause severe performance degradations. Few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Athanasios Tsiligkaridis

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi