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Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

The profusion of knowledge encoded in large language models (LLMs) and their ability to apply this knowledge zero-shot in a range of settings makes them promising candidates for use in decision-making. However, they are currently limited by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Gabriel Freedman , Adam Dejl , Deniz Gorur , Xiang Yin , Antonio Rago , Francesca Toni

The paper studies the concepts of hedging and arbitrage in a non probabilistic framework. It provides conditions for non probabilistic arbitrage based on the topological structure of the trajectory space and makes connections with the usual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-08 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando , Pablo Olivares

Recently, qualitative uncertainty in abstract argumentation has received much attention. The first works on this topic introduced uncertainty about the presence of attacks, then about the presence of arguments, and finally combined both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Jean-Guy Mailly

Abstraction is essential for reducing the complexity of systems across diverse fields, yet designing effective abstraction methodology for probabilistic models is inherently challenging due to stochastic behaviors and uncertainties. Current…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Nijesh Upreti , Vaishak Belle

Applying automated reasoning tools for decision support and analysis in law has the potential to make court decisions more transparent and objective. Since there is often uncertainty about the accuracy and relevance of evidence,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Inga Ibs , Nico Potyka

Argumentation is a very active research field of Artificial Intelligence concerned with the representation and evaluation of arguments used in dialogues between humans and/or artificial agents. Acceptability semantics of formal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Zlatina Mileva , Antonis Bikakis , Fabio Aurelio D'Asaro , Mark Law , Alessandra Russo

We define a generalized likelihood function based on uncertainty measures and show that maximizing such a likelihood function for different measures induces different types of classifiers. In the probabilistic framework, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Loo-Nin Teow , Kia-Fock Loe

We develop a domain-theoretic framework for imprecise probability reasoning and inference on general topological spaces with a countably based continuous lattice of open sets. We address two distinct forms of uncertainty: partial or…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Abbas Edalat , Pietro Di Gianantonio , Amin Farjudian

This paper addresses the problem of merging uncertain information in the framework of possibilistic logic. It presents several syntactic combination rules to merge possibilistic knowledge bases, provided by different sources, into a new…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Salem Benferhat , Claudio Sossai

Probabilistic argumentation is an alternative to causal modeling with Bayesian networks. Probabilistic argumentation structures (PAS) are defined on families of compatible frames (f.c.f). This is a generalization of the usual multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Juerg Kohlas

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

Advances in the general capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have led to their use for information retrieval, and as components in automated decision systems. A faithful representation of probabilistic reasoning in these models may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Gabriel Freedman , Francesca Toni

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to reasoning about uncertainty can lead to different logical systems for formalizing such reasoning, even when the language for expressing uncertainty is the same. In the case of reasoning about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Matthew Harrison-Trainor , Wesley H. Holliday , Thomas F. Icard

We develop a logical framework for reasoning about knowledge and evidence in which the agent may be uncertain about how to interpret their evidence. Rather than representing an evidential state as a fixed subset of the state space, our…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Adam Bjorndahl , Aybüke Özgün

Some abstract argumentation approaches consider that arguments have a degree of uncertainty, which impacts on the degree of uncertainty of the extensions obtained from a abstract argumentation framework (AAF) under a semantics. In these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mariela Morveli-Espinoza , Juan Carlos Nieves , Cesar Augusto Tacla

Translations between different nonmonotonic formalisms always have been an important topic in the field, in particular to understand the knowledge-representation capabilities those formalisms offer. We provide such an investigation in terms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Wolfgang Dvorak , Stefan Woltran

ProbLog is a popular probabilistic logic programming language/tool, widely used for applications requiring to deal with inherent uncertainties in structured domains. In this paper we study connections between ProbLog and a variant of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Francesca Toni , Nico Potyka , Markus Ulbricht , Pietro Totis

Probabilistic argumentation allows reasoning about argumentation problems in a way that is well-founded by probability theory. However, in practice, this approach can be severely limited by the fact that probabilities are defined by adding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Nico Potyka

In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Pengyu Qian , Zizhuo Wang , Zaiwen Wen