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Bayesian Cox semiparametric regression is an important problem in many clinical settings. Bayesian procedures provide finite-sample inference and naturally incorporate prior information if MCMC algorithms and posteriors are well behaved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Benny Ren , Jeffrey Morris , Ian Barnett

In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Joseph Kahn

We consider the disordered monomer-dimer model on general finite graphs with bounded degrees. Under the finite fourth moment assumption on the weight distributions, we prove a Gaussian central limit theorem for the free energy of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Wai-Kit Lam , Arnab Sen

We propose a partially linear additive Gaussian graphical model (PLA-GGM) for the estimation of associations between random variables distorted by observed confounders. Model parameters are estimated using an $L_1$-regularized maximal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Sinong Geng , Minhao Yan , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang

We construct a novel class of stochastic blockmodels using Bayesian nonparametric mixtures. These model allows us to jointly estimate the structure of multiple networks and explicitly compare the community structures underlying them, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-17 Perla Reyes , Abel Rodriguez

Latent factor GARCH models are difficult to estimate using Bayesian methods because standard Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce slowly mixing and inefficient draws from the posterior distributions of the model parameters. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-07 Michael K. Pitt , Jamie Hall , Robert Kohn

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

This paper discusses the efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate factor stochastic volatility (Factor MSV) model with leverage. We propose a novel approach to construct the sampling schemes that converges to the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

Identifying the active factors that have significant impacts on the output of the complex system is an important but challenging variable selection problem in computer experiments. In this paper, a Bayesian hierarchical Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Xiao Yao , Ning Jianhui , Qin Hong

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

This paper considers multiple extended object tracking based on Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixture (PMBM) filtering, which gives the closed-form Bayesian solution for standard multiple extended object models with Poisson birth. To efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yuxuan Xia , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Lennart Svensson

Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Performing model selection between Gibbs random fields is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical or numerical methods.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo

Model uncertainty is a central challenge in statistical models for binary outcomes such as logistic regression, arising when it is unclear which predictors should be included in the model. Many methods have been proposed to address this…

In any Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis, rapid convergence of the chain to its target probability distribution is of practical and theoretical importance. A chain that converges at a geometric rate is geometrically ergodic. In this paper,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-05 Alicia A. Johnson , Owen Burbank

In this paper, we propose a distributed computing approach to solving large-scale robust stability problems on the simplex. Our approach is to formulate the robust stability problem as an optimization problem with polynomial variables and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Reza Kamyar , Matthew M. Peet , Yulia Peet

The emergence of big data has led to a growing interest in so-called convergence complexity analysis, which is the study of how the convergence rate of a Monte Carlo Markov chain (for an intractable Bayesian posterior distribution) scales…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Zhumengmeng Jin , James P. Hobert

The random dot product graph is a popular model for network data with extensions that accommodate dynamic (time-varying) networks. However, two significant deficiencies exist in the dynamic random dot product graph literature: (1) no…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal