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In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic sequence model that excels at capturing high variability in time series data, both across sequences and within an individual sequence. Our method uses temporal latent variables to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Ruizhi Deng , Yanshuai Cao , Bo Chang , Leonid Sigal , Greg Mori , Marcus A. Brubaker

Temporal point process serves as an essential tool for modeling time-to-event data in continuous time space. Despite having massive amounts of event sequence data from various domains like social media, healthcare etc., real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Manisha Dubey , P. K. Srijith , Maunendra Sankar Desarkar

Temporal repetition counting aims to estimate the number of cycles of a given repetitive action. Existing deep learning methods assume repetitive actions are performed in a fixed time-scale, which is invalid for the complex repetitive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Huaidong Zhang , Xuemiao Xu , Guoqiang Han , Shengfeng He

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Aditi Raghunathan , Abhishek Tripathi , John Handley , Fredric Roulland

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Tailai Wen , Roy Keyes

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

In this paper we start with a simple question, how is it possible that humans can recognize different movements over skin with only a prior visual experience of them? Or in general, what is the representation of spatial sequences that are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Viacheslav M. Osaulenko

Session-based recommendations which predict the next action by understanding a user's interaction behavior with items within a relatively short ongoing session have recently gained increasing popularity. Previous research has focused on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Eunkyu Oh , Taehun Kim

Current statistics can be calculated in various ways. Event-based approaches use the statistics of the number of events occuring during a given time. Time-based approaches use the statistics of the time needed to reach a given number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Massimiliano Esposito , Katja Lindenberg , Igor M. Sokolov

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

The recurrent neural networks (RNN) can be used to solve the sequence to sequence problem, where both the input and the output have sequential structures. Usually there are some implicit relations between the structures. However, it is hard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Feng Wang , David M. J. Tax

Event prediction is the ability of anticipating future events, i.e., future real-world occurrences, and aims to support the user in deciding on actions that change future events towards a desired state. An event prediction method learns the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Janik-Vasily Benzin , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

Human close-range proximity interactions are the key determinant for spreading processes like knowledge diffusion, norm adoption, and infectious disease transmission. These dynamical processes can be modeled with time-respecting paths on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Silvia Guerrini , Ciro Cattuto , Lorenzo Dall'Amico

The demand of probabilistic time series forecasting has been recently raised in various dynamic system scenarios, for example, system identification and prognostic and health management of machines. To this end, we combine the advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Haitao Liu , Changjun Liu , Xiaomo Jiang , Xudong Chen , Shuhua Yang , Xiaofang Wang

Location prediction forecasts a user's location based on historical user mobility traces. To tackle the intrinsic sparsity issue of real-world user mobility traces, spatiotemporal contexts have been shown as significantly useful. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Bangchao Deng , Bingqing Qu , Pengyang Wang , Dingqi Yang , Benjamin Fankhauser , Philippe Cudre-Mauroux

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Sequence learning is an essential aspect of intelligence. In Artificial Intelligence, sequence prediction task is usually used to test a sequence learning model. In this paper, a model of sequence learning, which is interpretable through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Bowen Xu

Temporal prediction is inherently uncertain, but representing the ambiguity in natural image sequences is a challenging high-dimensional probabilistic inference problem. For natural scenes, the curse of dimensionality renders explicit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Pierre-Étienne H. Fiquet , Eero P. Simoncelli

Segments that span contiguous parts of inputs, such as phonemes in speech, named entities in sentences, actions in videos, occur frequently in sequence prediction problems. Segmental models, a class of models that explicitly hypothesizes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Hao Tang

We address the problem of predicting the correctness of the student's response on the next exam question based on their previous interactions in the course of their learning and evaluation process. We model the student performance as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Marina Delianidi , Konstantinos Diamantaras , George Chrysogonidis , Vasileios Nikiforidis