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The accurate and interpretable prediction of future events in time-series data often requires the capturing of representative patterns (or referred to as states) underpinning the observed data. To this end, most existing studies focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Wenjie Hu , Yang Yang , Ziqiang Cheng , Carl Yang , Xiang Ren

Several scenario-based frameworks exist to aid in vehicle system development and safety assurance. However, there is a need for approaches that combine different types of datasets that offer varying levels of case severity, data richness,…

Stability and analysis of multi-agent network systems with state-dependent switching typologies have been a fundamental and longstanding challenge in control, social sciences, and many other related fields. These already complex systems…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-27 S. Rasoul Etesami

Predicting future international events from textual information, such as news articles, has tremendous potential for applications in global policy, strategic decision-making, and geopolitics. However, existing datasets available for this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Daehoon Gwak , Junwoo Park , Minho Park , Chaehun Park , Hyunchan Lee , Edward Choi , Jaegul Choo

In this work we review some recent development in the mathematical modelling of quantitative sociology by means of statistical mechanics. After a short pedagogical introduction to static and dynamic properties of many body systems, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-10-15 Elena Agliari , Adriano Barra , Raffaella Burioni , Pierluigi Contucci

Understanding the temporal properties of longitudinal data is critical for identifying trends, predicting future events, and making informed decisions in any field where temporal data is analysed, including health and epidemiology, finance,…

Nonlinear mixed effects modeling is a powerful tool when analyzing data from several entities in an experiment. In this paper, we present NLMEModeling, a package for mixed effects modeling in Wolfram Mathematica. NLMEModeling supports mixed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-16 Jacob Leander , Joachim Almquist , Anna Johnning , Julia Larsson , Mats Jirstrand

Semi-competing risks refer to the setting where primary scientific interest lies in estimation and inference with respect to a non-terminal event, the occurrence of which is subject to a terminal event. In this paper, we present the R…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-06 Danilo Alvares , Sebastien Haneuse , Catherine Lee , Kyu Ha Lee

Emotion dynamics modeling is a significant task in emotion recognition in conversation. It aims to predict conversational emotions when building empathetic dialogue systems. Existing studies mainly develop models based on Recurrent Neural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Haiqin Yang , Jianping Shen

An R package SpatialPack that implements routines to compute point estimators and perform hypothesis testing of the spatial association between two stochastic sequences is introduced. These methods address the spatial association between…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Felipe Osorio , Ronny Vallejos , Francisco Cuevas

The rstap package implements Bayesian spatial temporal aggregated predictor models in R using the probabilistic programming language Stan. A variety of distributions and link functions are supported, allowing users to fit this extension to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Adam Peterson , Brisa Sanchez

Modeling event patterns is a central task in a wide range of disciplines. In applications such as studying human activity patterns, events often arrive clustered with sporadic and long periods of inactivity. Such heterogeneity in event…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Jingfei Zhang , Biao Cai , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang , Ganggang Xu , Yongtao Guan

In recent years, there has been an increased need for the use of active systems - systems required to act automatically based on events, or changes in the environment. Such systems span many areas, from active databases to applications that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Segev Wasserkrug , Avigdor Gal , Opher Etzion

Recent advances in neurosciences and psychology have provided evidence that affective phenomena pervade intelligence at many levels, being inseparable from the cognitionaction loop. Perception, attention, memory, learning, decisionmaking,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-09-30 Luis Paulo Reis , Daria Barteneva , Nuno Lau

Many safety-critical scientific and engineering systems evolve according to differential-algebraic equations (DAEs), where dynamical behavior is constrained by physical laws and admissibility conditions. In practice, these systems operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Minxing Zheng , Zewei Deng , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

An empirical model is a generalization of a probability space. It consists of a simplicial complex of subsets of a class X of random variables such that each simplex has an associated probability distribution. The ensuing marginalizations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-01 Rodrigo Iglesias , Fernando Tohmé , Marcelo Auday

In recent years there has been an increasing interest in the use of relational event models for dynamic social network analysis. The basis of these models is the concept of an "event", defined as a triplet of time, sender, and receiver of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-24 Diana Karimova , Joris Mulder , Roger Th. A. J. Leenders

dynamite is an R package for Bayesian inference of intensive panel (time series) data comprising multiple measurements per multiple individuals measured in time. The package supports joint modeling of multiple response variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske
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