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The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

This paper studies the residual empirical process of long- and short-memory time series regression models and establishes its uniform expansion under a general framework. The results are applied to the stochastic regression models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Ngai Hang Chan , Shiqing Ling

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of a given outcome out of competitive events. This key observable of random walk theory, historically introduced as the gambler's ruin problem, is well understood for memoryless (Markovian)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-01 M. Dolgushev , T. V. Mendes , B. Gorin , K. Xie , N. Levernier , O. Bénichou , H. Kellay , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

We investigate the distribution properties of the fractional L\'evy motion. We consider separately the cases $0<H<1/2$ (short memory) and $1/2<H<1$ (long memory), where $H$ is the Hurst parameter, and present the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

Temporal coherence-persistent alignment across time-can arise between agents with fundamentally distinct dynamics, a behavior that classical diffusion models (e.g., Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, generalized Langevin equation)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-19 Aranyak Sarkar

The role of memory and cognition in the movement of individuals (e.g. animals) within a population, is thought to play an important role in population dispersal. In response, there has been increasing interest in incorporating spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-15 Yifei Li , Matthew J Simpson , Chuncheng Wang

Stochastic averaging for a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with fractional Brownian motion, of the Hurst parameter H in the interval (1/2, 1), is investigated. An averaged SDE for the original SDE is proposed, and their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Yong Xu , Rong Guo , Di Liu , Huiqing Zhang , Jinqiao Duan

It is well-known from the work of Sch\"onbucher (2005) that the marginal laws of a loss process can be matched by a unit increasing time inhomogeneous Markov process, whose deterministic jump intensity is called local intensity. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Aurélien Alfonsi , Céline Labart , Jérôme Lelong

This paper aims to investigate the non-Markovian dynamics. The governing equations are derived for the probability density functions (PDFs) of non-Markovian stochastic responses to Langevin equation excited by combined fractional Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Bin Pei , Lifang Feng , Yunzhang Li , Yong Xu

Many physical systems characterized by nonlinear multiscale interactions can be effectively modeled by treating unresolved degrees of freedom as random fluctuations. However, even when the microscopic governing equations and qualitative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-07 Jared L. Callaham , Jean-Christophe Loiseau , Georgios Rigas , Steven L. Brunton

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components, both in discrete and continuous time. Each component is represented by a point process indicating if it has a spike or not at a given…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-24 A. Galves , E. Löcherbach

A non-markovian stochastic model is shown to lead to a universal relationship between particle's energy, driven frequency and a frequency of interaction with the medium. It is briefly discussed the possible relevance of this general…

Classical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mario J. Pinheiro

Memoryless processes are ubiquitous in nature, in contrast with the mathematics of open systems theory, which states that non-Markovian processes should be the norm. This discrepancy is usually addressed by subjectively making the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Stochastic resetting describes dynamics which are reinitialized to a reference state at random times. These protocols are attracting significant interest: they can stabilize nonequilibrium stationary states, generate correlations in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Federico Carollo , Sascha Wald

We study a generalised model of population growth in which the state variable is population growth rate instead of population size. Stochastic parametric perturbations, modelling phenotypic variability, lead to a Langevin system with two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-15 Harold P. de Vladar , Ido Pen

Building upon our prior work [1], we present a unified stochastic drift model (SdM) for superconducting charge qubits based on memory multi-fractional Brownian motion (mmFBM). The classical sector employs a time-dependent Hurst exponent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-20 Mahboob Ul Haq

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an important scale-invariant Gaussian non-Markovian process with stationary increments, which serves as a prototypical example of a system with long-range temporal correlations and anomalous diffusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov