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Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Wasserstein gradient and Hamiltonian flows have emerged as essential tools for modeling complex dynamics in the natural sciences, with applications ranging from partial differential equations (PDEs) and optimal transport to quantum…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jianyu Hu , Juan-Pablo Ortega , Daiying Yin

This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

In the application of Bayesian methods to metrology, pre-data probabilities play a critical role in the estimation of the model uncertainty. Following the observation that distributions form Riemann's manifolds, methods of differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-17 Giovanni Mana , Carlo Palmisano

We study the Wasserstein natural gradient in parametric statistical models with continuous sample spaces. Our approach is to pull back the $L^2$-Wasserstein metric tensor in the probability density space to a parameter space, equipping the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Yifan Chen , Wuchen Li

In Bayesian multilevel models, the data are structured in interconnected groups, and their posteriors borrow information from one another due to prior dependence between latent parameters. However, little is known about the behaviour of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Francesco Mascari

Laplace's method approximates a target density with a Gaussian distribution at its mode. It is computationally efficient and asymptotically exact for Bayesian inference due to the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, but for complex targets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

The importance of wild video based image set recognition is becoming monotonically increasing. However, the contents of these collected videos are often complicated, and how to efficiently perform set modeling and feature extraction is a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Rui Wang , XiaoJun Wu , Josef Kittler

Let (M,g) be a compact, connected and oriented Riemannian manifold. We denote D the space of smooth probability density functions on M. In this paper, we show that the Frechet manifold D is equipped with a Riemannian metric g^{D} and an…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Mathieu Molitor

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

We consider the problem of density estimation on Riemannian manifolds. Density estimation on manifolds has many applications in fluid-mechanics, optics and plasma physics and it appears often when dealing with angular variables (such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-10 Mevlana C. Gemici , Danilo Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

In the recent past, nested structures in Riemannian manifolds has been studied in the context of dimensionality reduction as an alternative to the popular principal geodesic analysis (PGA) technique, for example, the principal nested…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Chun-Hao Yang , Baba C. Vemuri

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

The infinite-dimensional Hilbert sphere $S^\infty$ has been widely employed to model density functions and shapes, extending the finite-dimensional counterpart. We consider the Fr\'echet mean as an intrinsic summary of the central tendency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Xiongtao Dai

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

The mean field variational inference (MFVI) formulation restricts the general Bayesian inference problem to the subspace of product measures. We present a framework to analyze MFVI algorithms, which is inspired by a similar development for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-21 Soumyadip Ghosh , Yingdong Lu , Tomasz Nowicki , Edith Zhang

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of a heteroskedastic variance function on the sphere in a regression framework, assuming the variance belongs to a Besov regularity class. A needlet-based estimator is proposed, combining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Claudio Durastanti , Radomyra Shevchenko

We study a probabilistic numerical method for the solution of both boundary and initial value problems that returns a joint Gaussian process posterior over the solution. Such methods have concrete value in the statistics on Riemannian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-13 Philipp Hennig , Søren Hauberg
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