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Systems in thermal equilibrium at non-zero temperature are described by their Gibbs state. For classical many-body systems, the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm gives a Markov process with a local update rule that samples from the Gibbs…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-20 Daniel Zhang , Jan Lukas Bosse , Toby Cubitt

We exhibit examples of high-dimensional unimodal posterior distributions arising in non-linear regression models with Gaussian process priors for which MCMC methods can take an exponential run-time to enter the regions where the bulk of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Afonso S. Bandeira , Antoine Maillard , Richard Nickl , Sven Wang

Latent position network models are a versatile tool in network science; applications include clustering entities, controlling for causal confounders, and defining priors over unobserved graphs. Estimating each node's latent position is…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-05 Neil A. Spencer , Brian Junker , Tracy M. Sweet

Motivated by Bayesian inference with highly informative data we analyze the performance of random walk-like Metropolis-Hastings algorithms for approximate sampling of increasingly concentrating target distributions. We focus on Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-25 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

In the present paper we identify a rigorous property of a number of tempering-based Monte Carlo sampling methods, including parallel tempering as well as partial and infinite swapping. Based on this property we develop a variety of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 J. D. Doll , Nuria Plattner , David L. Freeman , Yufei Liu , Paul Dupuis

Bayesian inference for doubly-intractable pairwise exponential graphical models typically involves variations of the exchange algorithm or approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. However, existing methods for both classes of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-30 Yujie Chen , Antik Chakraborty , Anindya Bhadra

Tasks such as record linkage and multi-target tracking, which involve reconstructing the set of objects that underlie some observed data, are particularly challenging for probabilistic inference. Recent work has achieved efficient and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Brian Milch , Stuart Russell

The RRUM is a model that is frequently seen in language assessment studies. The objective of this research is to advance an MCMC algorithm for the Bayesian RRUM. The algorithm starts with estimating correlated attributes. Using a saturated…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-25 Meng-Ta Chung , Matthew S. Johnson

Sampling from the lattice Gaussian distribution plays an important role in various research fields. In this paper, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-based sampling technique is advanced in several fronts. Firstly, the spectral gap for the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling

Bayesian data analysis is widely used across many disciplines, and representative examples in materials science include spectral analysis and sparse modeling. In such applications, the underlying models often become complex and yield…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

We propose a quantum algorithm to compute low-energy expectation values of a quantum Hamiltonian by sampling a partition function associated with the average energy of that Hamiltonian. For any given quantum circuit-Hamiltonian pair, there…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Judah F. Unmuth-Yockey

Because of their multimodality, mixture posterior distributions are difficult to sample with standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. We propose a strategy to enhance the sampling of MCMC in this context, using a biasing procedure…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-19 Nicolas Chopin , Tony Lelievre , Gabriel Stoltz

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has emerged as a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to sample from complex continuous distributions. However, a fundamental limitation of HMC is that it can not be applied to distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-10 Guangyao Zhou

We propose a new Monte Carlo method for sampling from multimodal distributions. The idea of this technique is based on splitting the task into two: finding the modes of a target distribution $\pi$ and sampling, given the knowledge of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-14 Emilia Pompe , Chris Holmes , Krzysztof Łatuszyński

Posterior sampling is a task of central importance in Bayesian inference. For many applications in Bayesian meta-analysis and Bayesian transfer learning, the prior distribution is unknown and needs to be estimated from samples. In practice,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-06 Chenyang Zhong , Shouxuan Ji , Tian Zheng

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

In this paper we study the Metropolis algorithm in connection with two mean--field spin systems, the so called mean--field Ising model and the Blume--Emery--Griffiths model. In both this examples the naive choice of proposal chain gives…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bassetti Federico , Leisen Fabrizio

While gradient-based discrete samplers are effective in sampling from complex distributions, they are susceptible to getting trapped in local minima, particularly in high-dimensional, multimodal discrete distributions, owing to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Luxu Liang , Yuhang Jia , Feng Zhou

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-27 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander , F. Louzada