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Over the past fifty years, numerous software defect prediction (SDP) approaches have been proposed. However, the ability to explain why predictors make certain predictions remains limited. Explainable SDP has emerged as a promising solution…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Guifang Xu , Zhiling Zhu , Xingcheng Guo , Wei Wang

The Difference in Difference (DiD) estimator is a popular estimator built on the "parallel trends" assumption, which is an assertion that the treatment group, absent treatment, would change "similarly" to the control group over time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Dae Woong Ham , Luke Miratrix

Changepoint analysis deals with unsupervised detection and/or estimation of time-points in time-series data, when the distribution generating the data changes. In this article, we consider \emph{offline} changepoint detection in the context…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Avinandan Bose , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

Difference-in-differences is one of the most used identification strategies in empirical work in economics. This chapter reviews a number of important, recent developments related to difference-in-differences. First, this chapter reviews…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-02 Brantly Callaway

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

Assessment of replicability is critical to ensure the quality and rigor of scientific research. In this paper, we discuss inference and modeling principles for replicability assessment. Targeting distinct application scenarios, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yi Zhao , Xiaoquan Wen

There is a serious flaw in the proposal [arXiv:1603.06857] for the achievement of unity efficiency in SPDC. This is a replacement due to mistakes in the table of probabilities. Numbers have been corrected.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-02 M. K. Olsen

Keyphrase prediction aims to generate phrases (keyphrases) that highly summarizes a given document. Recently, researchers have conducted in-depth studies on this task from various perspectives. In this paper, we comprehensively summarize…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Binbin Xie , Jia Song , Liangying Shao , Suhang Wu , Xiangpeng Wei , Baosong Yang , Huan Lin , Jun Xie , Jinsong Su

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

Every prediction is ultimately used in a downstream task. Consequently, evaluating prediction quality is more meaningful when considered in the context of its downstream use. Metrics based solely on predictive performance often diverge from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Novin Shahroudi , Viacheslav Komisarenko , Meelis Kull

The constant development of new data analysis methods in many fields of research is accompanied by an increasing awareness that these new methods often perform better in their introductory paper than in subsequent comparison studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Christina Nießl , Sabine Hoffmann , Theresa Ullmann , Anne-Laure Boulesteix

Link prediction is a paradigmatic problem in network science, which aims at estimating the existence likelihoods of nonobserved links, based on known topology. After a brief introduction of the standard problem and metrics of link…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-14 Tao Zhou

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

This paper describes problems with the current way we compare the diversity of different recommendation lists in offline experiments. We illustrate the problems with a case study. We propose the Sudden Death score as a new and better way of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Derek Bridge , Mesut Kaya , Pablo Castells

Predicting issue lifetime can help software developers, managers, and stakeholders effectively prioritize work, allocate development resources, and better understand project timelines. Progress had been made on this prediction problem, but…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Mitch Rees-Jones , Matthew Martin , Tim Menzies

This note covers two parts. The first one provides an errata to the paper "Numerical and analytical modeling of busbar systems". We mainly give the correction for three equations affected by a typographical mistake. Despite the corrections…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Luca Giaccone , Aldo Canova

Background: Machine learning algorithms are widely used to predict defect prone software components. In this literature, computational experiments are the main means of evaluation, and the credibility of results depends on experimental…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Giuseppe Destefanis , Leila Yousefi , Martin Shepperd , Allan Tucker , Stephen Swift , Steve Counsell , Mahir Arzoky

While fine-tuning pre-trained models for downstream classification is the conventional paradigm in NLP, often task-specific nuances may not get captured in the resultant models. Specifically, for tasks that take two inputs and require the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Ashutosh Kumar , Aditya Joshi
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