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We propose a novel randomized incremental gradient algorithm, namely, VAriance-Reduced Accelerated Gradient (Varag), for finite-sum optimization. Equipped with a unified step-size policy that adjusts itself to the value of the condition…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Guanghui Lan , Zhize Li , Yi Zhou

This paper studies multi-horizon Granger causality using high-dimensional local projections in sparse Vector Autoregressive (VAR) systems. Since local projection coefficients are nonlinear transformations of the underlying VAR parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Eugene Dettaa , Endong Wang

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In recent years, a rich variety of regularization procedures have been proposed for high dimensional regression problems. However, tuning parameter choice and computational efficiency in ultra-high dimensional problems remain vexing issues.…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-18 Hua Zhou , Artin Armagan , David B. Dunson

High-dimensional time series are a core ingredient of the statistical modeling toolkit, for which numerous estimation methods are known.But when observations are scarce or corrupted, the learning task becomes much harder.The question is:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-06 Guillaume Dalle , Yohann de Castro

This paper presents a convex-analytic framework to learn sparse graphs from data. While our problem formulation is inspired by an extension of the graphical lasso using the so-called combinatorial graph Laplacian framework, a key difference…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Tatsuya Koyakumaru , Masahiro Yukawa , Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

In the area of sparse recovery, numerous researches hint that non-convex penalties might induce better sparsity than convex ones, but up until now those corresponding non-convex algorithms lack convergence guarantees from the initial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Laming Chen , Yuantao Gu

Visual AutoRegressive modeling (VAR) suffers from substantial computational cost due to the massive token count involved. Failing to account for the continuous evolution of modeling dynamics, existing VAR token reduction methods face three…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Yu Zhang , Jingyi Liu , Feng Liu , Duoqian Miao , Qi Zhang , Kexue Fu , Changwei Wang , Longbing Cao

We address the issue of estimating the regression vector $\beta$ in the generic $s$-sparse linear model $y = X\beta+z$, with $\beta\in\R^{p}$, $y\in\R^{n}$, $z\sim\mathcal N(0,\sg^2 I)$ and $p> n$ when the variance $\sg^{2}$ is unknown. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Stéphane Chrétien , Sébastien Darses

We provide finite sample properties of sparse multivariate ARCH processes, where the linear representation of ARCH models allows for an ordinary least squares estimation. Under the restricted strong convexity of the unpenalized loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Benjamin Poignard

The popular Lasso approach for sparse estimation can be derived via marginalization of a joint density associated with a particular stochastic model. A different marginalization of the same probabilistic model leads to a different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-28 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Alessandro Chiuso , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data.Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 He Zhao , Vassili Kitsios , Terence J. O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

We use information from higher order moments to achieve identification of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models, possibly non-fundamental or non-causal, through a frequency domain criterion based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Carlos Velasco

In many scientific studies, it becomes increasingly important to delineate the causal pathways through a large number of mediators, such as genetic and brain mediators. Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a popular technique to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-28 Yi Zhao , Xi Luo

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

This paper proposes a wavelet-based method for analysing periodic autoregressive moving average (PARMA) time series. Even though Fourier analysis provides an effective method for analysing periodic time series, it requires the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-04 Rhea Davis , N. Balakrishna

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus
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