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Inferring higher-order interaction structure from observations of dynamics is a central challenge in complex systems, particularly when data are scarce, noisy, or concentrated in lower-dimensional regions of state space. We develop…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-07 Katerina Tang , Vivek Srikrishnan , Jackson Kulik

A single primary sampling unit (PSU) per stratum design is a popular design for estimating the parameter of interest. Although, the point estimator of the design is unbiased and efficient, an unbiased variance estimator does not exist. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Sepideh Mosaferi

Making inference with spatial extremal dependence models can be computationally burdensome since they involve intractable and/or censored likelihoods. Building on recent advances in likelihood-free inference with neural Bayes estimators,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Jordan Richards , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Raphaël Huser

In this paper, we treat estimation and prediction problems where negative multinomial variables are observed and in particular consider unbalanced settings. First, the problem of estimating multiple negative multinomial parameter vectors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Yasuyuki Hamura

Objective: Sparse Bayesian learning provides an effective scheme to solve the high-dimensional problem in brain signal decoding. However, traditional assumptions regarding data distributions such as Gaussian and binomial are potentially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

We consider the sparse regression model where the number of parameters $p$ is larger than the sample size $n$. The difficulty when considering high-dimensional problems is to propose estimators achieving a good compromise between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Pierre Alquier , Karim Lounici

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

In this paper we utilize techniques from the theory of non-linear dynamical systems to define a notion of embedding threshold estimators. More specifically we use delay-coordinates embeddings of sets of coefficients of the measured signal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 D. Napoletani , C. A. Berenstein , T. Sauer , D. C. Struppa , D. Walnut

In this paper, the use of the Generalized Beta Mixture (GBM) and Horseshoe distributions as priors in the Bayesian Compressive Sensing framework is proposed. The distributions are considered in a two-layer hierarchical model, making the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Zahra Sabetsarvestani , Hamidreza Amindavar

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Safe Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes is an effective tool for tuning control policies in safety-critical real-world systems, specifically due to its sample efficiency and safety guarantees. However, most safe BO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Abdullah Tokmak , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

For small area estimation of area-level data, the Fay-Herriot model is extensively used as a model based method. In the Fay-Herriot model, it is conventionally assumed that the sampling variances are known whereas estimators of sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In this paper, we propose a sparse recovery algorithm called detection-directed (DD) sparse estimation using Bayesian hypothesis test (BHT) and belief propagation (BP). In this framework, we consider the use of sparse-binary sensing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-07 Jaewook Kang , Heung-No Lee , Kiseon Kim

We develop a technique to design efficiently computable estimators for sparse linear regression in the simultaneous presence of two adversaries: oblivious and adaptive. We design several robust algorithms that outperform the state of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Chih-Hung Liu , Gleb Novikov

In the sparse normal means model, convergence of the Bayesian posterior distribution associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Ismaël Castillo , Romain Mismer

We consider benchmarked empirical Bayes (EB) estimators under the basic area-level model of Fay and Herriot while requiring the standard benchmarking constraint. In this paper we determine the excess mean squared error (MSE) from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-08 Rebecca C. Steorts , Malay Ghosh

We propose two novel approaches to the recovery of an (approximately) sparse signal from noisy linear measurements in the case that the signal is a priori known to be non-negative and obey given linear equality constraints, such as simplex…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Jeremy Vila , Philip Schniter

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The estimation of EEG generating sources constitutes an Inverse Problem (IP) in Neuroscience. This is an ill-posed problem, due to the non-uniqueness of the solution, and many kinds of prior information have been used to constrain it. A…

We study a problem of estimation of smooth functionals of parameter $\theta $ of Gaussian shift model $$ X=\theta +\xi,\ \theta \in E, $$ where $E$ is a separable Banach space and $X$ is an observation of unknown vector $\theta$ in Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Mayya Zhilova
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