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High-dimensional data with hundreds of thousands of observations are becoming commonplace in many disciplines. The analysis of such data poses many computational challenges, especially when the observations are correlated over time and/or…

Computation · Statistics 2011-08-05 Sylvie Tchumtchoua , David B. Dunson , Jeffrey S. Morris

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

Understanding the learning dynamics of neural networks is one of the key issues for the improvement of optimization algorithms as well as for the theoretical comprehension of why deep neural nets work so well today. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-18 Zhenyu Liao , Romain Couillet

The ability to generate and recognize sequential data is fundamental for autonomous systems operating in dynamic environments. Inspired by the key principles of the brain-predictive coding and the Bayesian brain-we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jungsik Hwang , Ahmadreza Ahmadi

Learning the dynamics of robots from data can help achieve more accurate tracking controllers, or aid their navigation algorithms. However, when the actual dynamics of the robots change due to external conditions, on-line adaptation of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Bilal Wehbe , Marc Hildebrandt , Frank Kirchner

A body of recent work in modeling neural activity focuses on recovering low-dimensional latent features that capture the statistical structure of large-scale neural populations. Most such approaches have focused on linear generative models,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-26 Yuanjun Gao , Evan Archer , Liam Paninski , John P. Cunningham

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in modern, real-world applications. Yet, estimating the unknown parameters of stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models remains a challenging problem. The majority of existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Anubhab Ghosh , Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Saikat Chatterjee , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The variance reduction speed of physically-based rendering is heavily affected by the adopted importance sampling technique. In this paper we propose a novel online framework to learn the spatial-varying density model with a single small…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Jiawei Huang , Akito Iizuka , Hajime Tanaka , Taku Komura , Yoshifumi Kitamura

This paper investigates online identification and prediction for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. In contrast to offline learning methods, we develop online algorithms that learn unknown parameters from a single trajectory. A key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-07 Lantian Zhang , Silun Zhang

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications,…

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations model a dynamical environment with neural nets assigned to their drift and diffusion terms. The high expressive power of their nonlinearity comes at the expense of instability in the identification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Andreas Look , Barbara Rakitsch , Melih Kandemir

We introduce Variational State-Space Filters (VSSF), a new method for unsupervised learning, identification, and filtering of latent Markov state space models from raw pixels. We present a theoretically sound framework for latent state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Daniel Pfrommer , Nikolai Matni

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

Neural population activity often exhibits regime-dependent non-stationarity in the form of switching dynamics. Learning accurate switching dynamical system models can reveal how behavior is encoded in neural activity. Existing switching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 DongKyu Kim , Han-Lin Hsieh , Maryam M. Shanechi

Learning shared structure across environments facilitates rapid learning and adaptive behavior in neural systems. This has been widely demonstrated and applied in machine learning to train models that are capable of generalizing to novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-09 Ayesha Vermani , Josue Nassar , Hyungju Jeon , Matthew Dowling , Il Memming Park