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We propose a machine-learning tool that yields causal inference on text in randomized trials. Based on a simple econometric framework in which text may capture outcomes of interest, our procedure addresses three questions: First, is the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Iman Modarressi , Jann Spiess , Amar Venugopal

Granger causality is a statistical notion of causal influence based on prediction via vector autoregression. For Gaussian variables it is equivalent to transfer entropy, an information-theoretic measure of time-directed information transfer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-17 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Tomas Scagliarini , Yuri Antonacci , Luca Faes

Causal structure discovery methods are commonly applied to structured data where the causal variables are known and where statistical testing can be used to assess the causal relationships. By contrast, recovering a causal structure from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Gaël Gendron , Jože M. Rožanec , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Event Causality Identification (ECI), which aims to detect whether a causality relation exists between two given textual events, is an important task for event causality understanding. However, the ECI task ignores crucial event structure…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Shiyao Cui , Jiawei Sheng , Xin Cong , QuanGang Li , Tingwen Liu , Jinqiao Shi

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Raha Moraffah , Paras Sheth , Mansooreh Karami , Anchit Bhattacharya , Qianru Wang , Anique Tahir , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

GraphRAG-Causal introduces an innovative framework that combines graph-based retrieval with large language models to enhance causal reasoning in news analysis. Traditional NLP approaches often struggle with identifying complex, implicit…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Abdul Haque , Umm e Hani , Ahmad Din , Muhammad Babar , Ali Abbas , Insaf Ullah

Causal discovery outputs a causal structure, represented by a graph, from observed data. For time series data, there is a variety of methods, however, it is difficult to evaluate these on real data as realistic use cases very rarely come…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Karin Rathsman , Per Nilsson

Causal discovery is at the core of human cognition. It enables us to reason about the environment and make counterfactual predictions about unseen scenarios that can vastly differ from our previous experiences. We consider the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Yunzhu Li , Antonio Torralba , Animashree Anandkumar , Dieter Fox , Animesh Garg

We analyze a neural system which mimics a sensorial cortex, with different input characteristics, in presence of transmission delays. We propose a new measure to characterize collective behavior, based on the nonlinear extension of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-25 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Causal reasoning is essential for business process interventions and improvement, requiring a clear understanding of causal relationships among activity execution times in an event log. Recent work introduced a method for discovering causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Yuval David , Fabiana Fournier , Lior Limonad , Inna Skarbovsky

The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

We propose a novel framework for studying causal inference of gene interactions using a combination of compressive sensing and Granger causality techniques. The gist of the approach is to discover sparse linear dependencies between time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-28 Mo Deng , Amin Emad , Olgica Milenkovic

In knowledge-intensive tasks, especially in high-stakes domains like medicine and law, it is critical not only to retrieve relevant information but also to provide causal reasoning and explainability. Large language models (LLMs) have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Hang Luo , Jian Zhang , Chujun Li

Knowledge graph technology is considered a powerful and semantically enabled solution to link entities, allowing users to derive new knowledge by reasoning data according to various types of reasoning rules. However, in building such a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Yuanyuan Tian , Wenwen Li

We propose a framework for parsing video and text jointly for understanding events and answering user queries. Our framework produces a parse graph that represents the compositional structures of spatial information (objects and scenes),…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-02-24 Kewei Tu , Meng Meng , Mun Wai Lee , Tae Eun Choe , Song-Chun Zhu

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Content is created for a well-defined purpose, often described by a metric or signal represented in the form of structured information. The relationship between the goal (metrics) of target content and the content itself is non-trivial.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Navita Goyal , Roodram Paneri , Ayush Agarwal , Udit Kalani , Abhilasha Sancheti , Niyati Chhaya

Understanding narratives requires reasoning about the cause-and-effect relationships between events mentioned in the text. While existing foundation models yield impressive results in many NLP tasks requiring reasoning, it is unclear…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Angelika Romanou , Syrielle Montariol , Debjit Paul , Leo Laugier , Karl Aberer , Antoine Bosselut

Narrative reasoning relies on the understanding of eventualities in story contexts, which requires a wealth of background world knowledge. To help machines leverage such knowledge, existing solutions can be categorized into two groups. Some…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Cheng Jiayang , Lin Qiu , Chunkit Chan , Xin Liu , Yangqiu Song , Zheng Zhang

Granger causality method analyzes the time series causalities without building a complex causality graph. However, the traditional Granger causality method assumes that the causalities lie between time series channels and remain constant,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Zhiheng Zhang , Wenbo Hu , Tian Tian , Jun Zhu